Brewers Padres : MLB Free Pick for August 1st

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Updated: August 1, 2016

Brewers Padres

Brewers Padres could feature two teams in a great deal of flux headed into tonight.  San Diego has sold the farm and waved the white flag shucking a lot of their high priced free agent pickups as of late.  Milwaukee has won four straight but are uncertain of Lucroy’s status with the team on this last day before the trade deadline expires.  Let us pounce on this situation while the market is up in the air for this one.

Brewers Padres : Price Right Now

Another game where starting pitching is not the end all consideration.  Trade deadlines and long road trips play more with the psyche than the rotations today.  Lucroy nixed a trade to the Tribe when they would not either promise him the starting spot as catcher for 2017 or release him from the team option this year.  Brewers could still ship him to Texas but the Rangers know the market is now in their favor.  We shall see if the Rangers can low ball the situation and still get a deal done.  Hard to say that Lucroy’s not being in the game is the key factor but the state of the Padres is that dire right now.

Padres Defections

Cosart can not be happy being dealt from the Marlins in a potential playoff run to the after thought Padres.  First start here will take a lot of getting used to.  He was not on a roll in his last three starts.  13 walks in fifteen innings with only 8 strikeouts is something that can not be overcome.  Look for a massive struggle from him tonight.  Nelson for the Brewers has had a majority of his 21 starts so far this season be of the quality kind.  His WHIP is elevated at 1.50 but has used his 17 strikeouts to work out of most jams to the tune of a low 2.16 ERA.

Brewers are a slight road favorite at -120.  So many ways this team can romp that the road runline at -1 1/2 +140 looks appealing.  Eight is the total with the market tugging slightly on the under.  All of this combined with all those new faces had SD being the fade here.  GO for the gusto with the -1 1/2 +140 RL on the road Brewers here.  Good fortune and we will see you next time here at The Gambling Forum.