Early Super Bowl Look

Updated: January 24, 2018

First Super Bowl Odds Analysis

The teams are set for Super Bowl LLI. The lines are set, the total is made and the nonstop talking head action that will be the next two weeks has begun. The AFC representative is again the New England Patriots while the NFC will be represented by the Philadelphia Eagles who will be looking for their franchises first ever Super Bowl victory. This intriguing matchup is a rematch of Super Bowl XXXIX where the Patriots defeated the Eagles 24-21 in Jacksonville, Fl.
Oddsmakers opened the line with the Patriots as a -6 point favorite but early action on the Eagles has quickly moved the number to -5.5 to -5 at various shops. The early Eagle push could be a reaction to their dominating defense over the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Championship game. The total for the game opened around 46.5 and was bet up to its current position of 48.5

Can The Patriots Repeat?

The Patriots are looking to become the first back-to-back champion since 2003-2004 when surprisingly The Patriots accomplished the feat defeating the Eagles in Super Bowl XXXIX. The Patriots winning the AFC again should come as a surprise to nobody as this team has dominated the last 15 years or so. The Jaguars were able to put up a much better fight than expected in the AFC title game but it seemed like many were just waiting for the Patriots to pull thru. Refs, penalties, whatever naysayers want to point to means nothing as once again the Pats are in the Super Bowl.
The big question for the Patriots will be the health of Tight End Rob Gronkowski as he is currently in NFL concussion protocol. The two week period leading up to the Super Bowl will surely help but this is something to keep an eye on as Gronk is a matchup nightmare for anyone when healthy.
Brady’s hand injury, which dominated headlines prior to last week, should be a non-issue this week as the stitches will be removed with plenty of time to spare before the game. Brady’s biggest issue for this game may be dealing with the deep and relentless pass rush of the Eagles front four. His line will have to hold up as one of the few semi-successful recipes for success against the Patriots is generating pressure with front lineman.
Gronk or no Gronk will be hard-pressed to go against the Patriots and their pedigree to lose the Super Bowl. No matter how much you, me or anyone else hates them they seem to always find a way to pull out the win(see last years Super Bowl).

Fly Eagle Fly!!

The Eagles are again the underdog in this contest(break out the dog mask). This should be nothing new to this club as they were underdogs versus the Falcons in the divisional round and dogs versus the Vikings in the conference championship. Will just be additional bulletin board material at this point in their quest for the teams first ever Super Bowl title.
This team has overcome adversity as they were basically left for dead once the injury to Carson Wentz’s ACL left him out for the season. That outlook changed once the postseason started and Nick Foles channeled his inner good quarterback. The Vikings clearly entered last weeks contest with the mentality that they were going to make Foles beat them. And Foles answered by beating them like a drum to the tune of 352 yards with 3 touchdowns. I believe New England will take a different approach. The Eagles run game will be keyed by a few guys very familiar with the Patriots in former Patriot Lagarette Blount and former Dolphin Jay Ajayi.
Philly’s best chance to hoist the trophy probably comes down to their defense. They may have only sacked Vikings QB Case Keenum once but they hit him often and forced him into two interceptions. They will need to get pressure on Brady early and often to win this contest and they have the talent up front to do so.
It’s Super Bowl time. Get your wagers locked and loaded. But make sure you save a few bucks for my favorite part of Super Bowl gambling…Props.