Red Sox Orioles : MLB Expert Free Pick 9/19

Updated: September 19, 2016

Red Sox Orioles

Great game with many playoff ramifications is in our Red Sox Orioles Expert Pick for Monday Night Baseball. Happy to see one and all back here at The Gambling Forum.  Boston leads by three games in a hotly contested AL East.  Toronto has tanked while the Orioles are at least within eyeshot.  Now they have a four game series at Camden Yards with fate in their own hand.  Four game sweep and then they have the lead.  First game sees them as a home underdog because of a very uneven starting pitching matchup.  Let us see who we favor in our Expert Pick of the day here at TGF.

Red Sox Orioles : Love to Fade Bundy

Bundy is on the mound for Baltimore to the delight of our Forums.  Members their track the starts of him, David Price, Mike Pelfrey, and others for betting fades.  Indeed the last three games of Dylan Bundy seems to reinforce this proclivity of our members.

  • ERA near five
  • Ten Base on Balls
  • WHIP of 1.60

This translates into the impression that he gets himself in trouble and can not emerge from it without some damage.  To a good hitting team like the Red Sox, this should be gold. So why is the ML hovering around -125ML for Boston and has not moved much at all?

Market Prices

So when we have Bundy verses a 20 game winner like Porcello we look at how the Boston starter is doing as of late.  He has a lot of innings on that arm this year but his recent momentum is a tad bit better than his overall stats.  Okay so the totals might reveal something.  It has been at nine runs all night at BetOnline but has had some action making the under twenty points more expensive.  Finally, the RL at -1 1/2 +125 is holding steady despite the under interest in runs scored for this one.

So we look at the gap between ML and RL.  50 points is not that great so the oddsmakers are saying to us that when Boston wins they will more likely do so by two runs then not.  Total under nine could either me that Porcello is going to keep the O’s down or that Bundy is not as bad as projected.  Home field in Baltimore gives them a tad of an edge.  We crunched the numbers and the best bet is the – 1 1/2 + 125 for the road Red Sox.  Good fortune and get this wager in before 7PM at Americas Bookie, HRWager, BetOnline, or any other TGF sponsor right now.