Super Bowl Rematch

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Updated: October 19, 2017

This Sunday brings us a very intriguing matchup of last year’s Super Bowl participants in the Atlanta Falcons and the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots on Sunday night football. And while it’s always a big game when we have a Super Bowl rematch this one has some extra buzz behind it as it was one of the most exciting and heartbreaking(depending on rooting interest) Super Bowls in a long time. Atlanta led 28-3 before losing 34-28 in overtime in what will be remembered as the great Super Bowl collapse.

Neither team looks as dominant as they did during last years runs but both teams will be looking to flex their muscle in this week 7 matchup. The line currently sits at Patriots -3.5 bouncing between -3 to -3.5 while the total is currently at 56 after opening at 53.5. This total easily represents the largest of the week as it is the only total currently in the 50s.
The defending Super Bowl champion generally has the edge in the rematch the following season. In the most recent contest, the Super Bowl participants the Denver Broncos won and covered the spread in their rematch with the Carolina Panthers. Defending Super Bowl champions are 5-2 both straight up and against the spread in the rematch that occurred the following season.

Key to Falcons Win: Offense

The Atlanta Falcons opened as a +3.5 point underdog coming in off two consecutive losses to the Bills and last week to the Dolphins. Although both games resulted in losses, they could have easily gone the other way as the Falcons were able to outgain both teams handily. Atlanta will have to avoid the mistakes that have burned them the previous two weeks if they are going to keep it close versus New England’s juggernaut offense.

As good as New England’s offense is their defense has almost been equally as bad. This bad New England defense that has struggled to stop names such as Jeremy Kerley and the Jets could be just what Julio Jones and the Atlanta Falcons offense needs to snap out of their recent slump.

The Patriots Answer: Tom Brady

The Patriots enter the game after surviving the Jets for a controversial win last week 24-17. New England fell behind 14-0 early before rallying to take a 24-14 lead and holding on 24-17. Tom Brady threw for 257 yards and 2 touchdowns to tight end Rob Gronkowski. The Patriots are currently 4-2 and lead the AFC East but their defense thus far has left many questions to answer. If the Patriots are going to win it’s generally going to be due to the fact the offense has scored early and often.

Of course, New England’s offense is ranked near the top of the league but their defense has allowed the second most points in the league thru 6 weeks and is dead last in various other defensive categories including yards allowed per game at 441 per game. Bottom line, they are bad. The Falcons offense has sputtered at times early this season but is still loaded with talent. Julio Jones, Devonta Freeman, and even Tevin Coleman all have big-play ability and there are just too many weapons for the Patriots to stop.

Take the Falcons +3.5 in the rematch. Falcons 30- New England 27