Twins Astros : MLB Free Pick for 8/10

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Updated: August 10, 2016

Twins Astros

Here we have an Astros Twins matchup that is better than what it looks to be on paper.  Great to see everyone again on this Wednesday at The Gambling Forum.  Today we have an Astros team that really needs to get moving from their 58-55 record and 3-7 recent form to make another run at the post season.  Minnesota has been out of it for a while but the young team is still working hard for Paul Molitor.  Market opened at -145 for the Astros as the road favorite for this 8pm game.  Which path to profit will we take in this one.

Astros Twins : Keuchel on the Road

Dallas has had a hard time shaking the reputation for being lights out at home and performing much worse on the road.  His last seven games has been almost a return to his former glory.  ERA and WHIP is down but 14 walks is merely average.  However, he turned in a howler of an outing last time on the road.  Detroit swatted him for seven runs in motown so who knows how we will travel after shutting out Texas at home for a redemption as of late.

Santana has been Stellar

Now Ervin for Minnesota has been great in his last seven.  Even in his last three, five runs is quite good for this young team that got him enough run support to get him 2-1 in that three game stretch.  This is part of the reason why the sharps overnight moved on the Twins from +135 to +123.  Oddly, the total has stayed on eight runs but has gotten more expensive on the over side from +100 to -115 right now.

Movement has to be skepticism on Dallas to keep the Twins at bay.  Had a more established team than Minnesota enter this game with their record, we would question motivation.  Not in this one.  Twins might tire and quit in November.  7-3 in their last ten equates to them still putting together runs and complete efforts.  Go with the Twins home underdog ML for your MLB free pick of the day.  Good fortune and we will see you tomorrow here at The Gambling Forum.