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Being only 4-6 in their last ten, the Nationals Phillies game takes on added incentive for Washington. Good morning and welcome back to HRWager. As the sun rises, the Mets fortunes are starting to look up as Cespedes is storming back off of the DL. While the Nats hold a nine game lead entering September, they can not afford to dial it down for perhaps two more weeks. So today’s matchup has Max and another established pitcher on the mound for even more wagering stability. Which way will profit come in from in this 7:05 PM start on 8/30?

Nationals Phillies : Momentum

At 60-71, Philadelphia might be a shade better than projected at the start of the season. Case in point is Eickhoff. Only 9-12 but a solid 3.87 ERA in over 150 innings of work. Hard to keep focused and grind for a team most know are going nowhere. His recent resume in the last three games is starting to unravel a tad. 1.42 WHIP and a mid four ERA translates that he is running out of gas. They will probably get very close to 200 IP from the man but he is going to be limping towards the finish line for them.

Market

Even in the face of that, Washington opened near the -225 level and has crept close to -200 in the ML. Totals has shifted contrary to the ML with the eight runs still being the bar but the under getting more expensive in the overnights. Max has not been stellar for his last three starts. His ERA is a run higher in that stretch compared to his season norm. On the road, Atlanta and Colorado both got to him before he finally silenced the already still bats of Baltimore last time out. Being on the road, Max is not worth -200 ML in this situation.

RL has a 70 point difference but is still chalk near -130 at -1 1/2 on the Nats. Confusing lines except for the totals. Look for Max to dial it back up for this one. Total under for the game or the team total under on Philadelphia are the paths to punish in this one. Good fortune and we will see you next time here at the HRW.

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