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MikeyLo

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  3. XFL Week 2 Discussion Thread

    in Main Stage

    Posted

    Looking Back at Week 1:

     

    Results

    • Home Team: 3-1 Straight Up, 3-1 ATS

    • Favorites: 2-2 Straight Up, 2-2 ATS

    • Under: 3-1 Against the Closing Number* (*Seattle/DC went over the opener but Under the closing number)

     

    Yards Per Play

    1. DC 6.3

    2. Houston 5.6

    3. Tampa Bay 5.5

    4. St. Louis 5.3

    5. New York 5.0

    6. Seattle 4.8

    7. Dallas 4.5

    8. LA 3.9

     

    Initial Takeaways

    • At first glance you might think the clock rules favor the under with the clock running after incomplete passes except for the last 2 minutes of the half - but the clock really slows down in the last 2 minutes stopping after every play to spot the ball. Under was looking great in the Seattle/DC game until the last 2 minutes of the first half. Do any books offer in game wagers? Might be an advantage hitting the in game over at the 2 minute warning of the 1st half.

    • There is more going for it on 4th down as punts out of bounds and into the endzone result in the ball at the 35 yard line

    • I’m not sure key numbers exist in this league with the PAT rules

     

    Seattle 19 @ D.C. 31: (DC -7.5, o/u 51)

    • Close first half. DC outscored Seattle 19-6 in 3rd Quarter (no points in 4th Quarter)

    • DC benefitted from a blocked punt TD, INT TD where the receiver fell down, and Seattle fumble inside the 5 yard line. Potentially misleading final score based on that although DC did average 6.3 yards per play vs 4.8 for Seattle

     

    LA 17 @ Houston 37: (Houston -6.5, o/u 51.5)

    • Close first half, Houston dominated the second half 19-0

    • Can’t find the exact number but If I remember correctly turnovers were something like 5-0 LA

    • Hou QB Walker looked good

    • LA benched starting QB Kanoff. Backup McClendon didn’t do anything

     

    Tampa Bay 3 @ New York 23: (Tampa Bay -4, o/u 52.5)

    • TB looked horrible. As a Bears fan it looked all too familiar for a Trestman coached team. Lots of confusion and Murray looked bad.

    • Oddsmakers loved TB coming into the season. We’ll see how much they adjust?

     

    St. Louis 15 @ Dallas 9: (Dallas -9.5,o/u 52.5)

    • Stoops seems pretty disinterested? 

    • Dallas Starting QB Jones didn’t play

    • STL kept the playcalling pretty simple for 22 year old QB Ta’amu. Not too many chances.

    • Lots of penalties for STL

    • STL defense made a lot of plays

     

    Looking Ahead to Week 2:

     

    Time to Prepare:

    • -1 Day: New York (Gilbride), Tampa Bay (Trestman)

    • Regular: DC (Hamilton), Seattle (Zorn), Dallas (Stoops), St. Louis (Hayes)

    • +1 Day: Houston (Jones), Los Angeles (Moss)

     

    Travel

    • Back to Back Home Games: DC (Hamilton), Houston (Jones)

    • Back to Back Road Games: Tampa Bay (Trestman), St. Louis (Hayes)

    • Long Flight: Tampa Bay to Seattle for 2nd Consecutive Road Game

     

    New York (1-0) @ DC (1-0)

    • -1 day to prepare for NY (Gilbride), plus travel

    • Think NY may be a little overvalued based on week 1 result but my theory is that was more a result of TB being bad than NY being good. We’ll see, but I lean DC in their second straight home game if line is under a TD.

     

    Tampa Bay (0-1) @ Seattle (0-1)

    • Seattle with an extra day to prepare and long flight for Tampa Bay (Trestman)

    • Lean: SEA. TB has a lot of figure out and a short week with a long flight to do it. TB was a road fav this week. If they are again I may hammer SEA.

     

    Dallas (0-1) @ LA (0-1)

    • LA (Moss) extra day to prepare

    • Need to monitor Dallas QB situation - sounds like Jones has barely practiced

    • Initial lean to LA. 

     

    St. Louis (1-0) @ Houston (1-0)

    • Houston (Jones) 1 more day to prepare than St. Louis (Hayes)

    • Contrasting styles. Hou Air Raid vs. STL RPO

    • Initial thought is that STL offense will have a hard time keeping up with Houston offense

     

    My Power Rankings

    1. Houston - Really complete win on Saturday. Seems like the kind of league that June Jones could really be tough in.

    2. DC - Cardale Jones and offense looked good in Week 1 but they may have been a little lucky with blocked punt and pick 6

    3. St. Louis - Only team to get a road win in week 1 and they did it as the biggest underdog of the week. Defense looked really good against a backup QB. Need to clean up the penalties but Ta’amu showed poise and skill.

    4. New York - Only defense to hold a team under 6 points in week 1. McGloin solid in 23-3 win.

    5. Seattle - Hung with DC on the road but special teams and turnovers let them down.

    6. Dallas - Disappointing home loss to open the season. Can Landry Jones turn them around?

    7. LA - Hung with Houston for a half before getting completely shut down in the 2nd half. Not sure how much of that was how good Houston is or how bad they are?

    8. Tampa Bay - Trestman’s team looked confused and Murray looked really bad. Brutal week one showing.

     

  4. MikeyLo’s XFL Week 1

    in Main Stage

    Posted

    Seattle/DC Under 49.5 (-110)
    Loss, -3.30 Units         

     

    Los Angeles/Houston Over 51 (-110)
    Win, +3.00 Units          

     

    Tampa Bay/New York Over 51.5 (-110)
    Loss, -3.30 Units         

     

    St. Louis (+9.5) (-110) @ Dallas
    Win, +4.00 Units

     

    Week 1: 2-2, +0.40 Units

    YTD: 2-2, +0.40 Units

  15. MikeyLo’s XFL Week 1

    in Main Stage

    Posted

    Tough loss mike........Today (Gameday) I was able to get this same play at 51 1/2....... hopefully after the line jumped a couple points you were able to play some on the other side.......

    Yeah, I actually did. Was driving home from Tennessee and decided to test out the FanDuel app when in Indiana. Got some at under 51 so it ended up being a wash for me (but not my posted record). Pretty lucky the way that one ended. This league is looking like points

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