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The line makes no sense [rest of season thread]


KingRevolver
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you are right about that! having said that the Steelers have fumbled at their own 20 yard line early,

 

Then Big Ben threw an INT that was tipped twice at the goal line on second down with plenty of time left in the first quarter.

 

Had they scored that TD then this would be a different game since Pitt gets the ball first in the second. I mean Pitt CANNOT play any worse in this game. They gave up 17 points in the first quarter but none in the second

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This week...Nov. 16th....in the NFL, I see a few traps for this weekend. The first one that I see on the schedule is Chiefs -1.5-2. The line opened at a pick yet with most of the money coming in on the Seahawks, the line has risen to 2.

 

Another one I'm looking at is the 49ers vs. Giants. The line opened at 3.5 and is still at that price at most shops even though fully 80% of the bets are coming in on the 49ers.

 

The last two involve the SNF and MNF games. The Colts opened at 2.5 point fave and the line has risen to 3 even though 65% of the money is on the Patriots. The Steelers opened up a 5.5 point fave and yet even though 92% of the money is on the Steelers, the line has hardly moved.

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This week...Nov. 16th....in the NFL, I see a few traps for this weekend. The first one that I see on the schedule is Chiefs -1.5-2. The line opened at a pick yet with most of the money coming in on the Seahawks, the line has risen to 2.

 

Another one I'm looking at is the 49ers vs. Giants. The line opened at 3.5 and is still at that price at most shops even though fully 80% of the bets are coming in on the 49ers.

 

The last two involve the SNF and MNF games. The Colts opened at 2.5 point fave and the line has risen to 3 even though 65% of the money is on the Patriots. The Steelers opened up a 5.5 point fave and yet even though 92% of the money is on the Steelers, the line has hardly moved.

 

Where are you getting this info about the % of money being bet on each team? I find it hard to believe.

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[TABLE=border: 0]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#1[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]465[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]Denver Broncos[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]90%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#2[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]475[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]Pittsburgh Steelers[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]87%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#3[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]456[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]Green Bay Packers[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]78%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#4[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]467[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]San Francisco 49ers[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]78%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#5[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]473[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]New England Patriots[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]76%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#6[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]462[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]New Orleans Saints[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]74%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#7[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]459[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]Atlanta Falcons[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]74%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#8[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]457[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]Seattle Seahawks[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]67%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#9[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]470[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]San Diego Chargers[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]67%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD] [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 0]

[TR]

[TD=width: 10%]#10[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]464[/TD]

[TD=width: 62%]Washington Redskins[/TD]

[TD=width: 14%, align: center]64%[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

 

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Data Provided by SportsInsights.com

 

[TABLE=class: rgMasterTable MasterTable, border: 1, cellspacing: 0, width: 100%]

[TR]

Time Team Market Avg Open Current Charts (Click To Enlarge) [/TR]

[TR=class: rgRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 451 - Houston Texans

452 - Cleveland Browns

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+3 100

-3 -110[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+3.5 -114

-3.5 103[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgAltRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 453 - Minnesota Vikings

454 - Chicago Bears

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+3 109

-3 -120[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+2.5 108

-2.5 -119[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

04:25 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 455 - Philadelphia Eagles

456 - Green Bay Packers

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+4 -105

-4 -105[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+5 -108

-5 -102[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgAltRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 457 - Seattle Seahawks

458 - Kansas City Chiefs

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+0 100

+0 -110[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+2.5 -120

-2.5 109[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 459 - Atlanta Falcons

460 - Carolina Panthers

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+0 102

+0 -113[/TD]

[TD=align: right]-1 -108

+1 -102[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgAltRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 461 - Cincinnati Bengals

462 - New Orleans Saints

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+6 -102

-6 -108[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+7.5 -125

-7.5 113[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 463 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

464 - Washington Redskins

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+7 -113

-7 102[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+7.5 -113

-7.5 102[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgAltRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 465 - Denver Broncos

466 - St. Louis Rams

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]-9 -105

+9 -105[/TD]

[TD=align: right]-9 -107

+9 -103[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

01:00 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 467 - San Francisco 49ers

468 - New York Giants

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]-3 -105

+3 -105[/TD]

[TD=align: right]-3.5 -108

+3.5 -102[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgAltRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

04:05 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 469 - Oakland Raiders

470 - San Diego Chargers

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+10 -119

-10 108[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+10.5 -113

-10.5 102[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

04:25 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 471 - Detroit Lions

472 - Arizona Cardinals

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+2.5 -105

-2.5 -105[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+1 -110

-1 100[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgAltRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/16

08:30 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 473 - New England Patriots

474 - Indianapolis Colts

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]+2.5 106

-2.5 -117[/TD]

[TD=align: right]+3 -109

-3 -101[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: rgRow, bgcolor: White]

[TD=align: right] 11/17

08:30 PM

[/TD]

[TD] 475 - Pittsburgh Steelers

476 - Tennessee Titans

[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[TD=align: right]-4.5 -105

+4.5 -105[/TD]

[TD=align: right]-6 -110

+6 100[/TD]

[TD=align: center][/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

 

 

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FWIW, Bagiant, I don't think KC -2 is a trap at all. I fully expect the Chiefs to beat a banged up Seattle squad in the blistering cold of Arrowhead, where they are a much better team than on the road (and, of course, Seattle is not nearly the same on the road).

 

I'd be surprised if Seattle wins.

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Toronto Raptors +3, +3.5, +4 tonight vs. LeBron's Cavs

 

Cleveland lost to the Wizards last night, 91-78

Toronto beat the Bucks last night, 124-83

 

Raptors have a 10-2 record, and the Cavs have a 5-6 record.

 

They'll be playing in Cleveland, but you would think the Raptors + points would be a piece of cake.

 

That means the Cavs are going to win by 10+

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