Sam Losco Posted January 21, 2020 Report Share Posted January 21, 2020 chiefs 34-24 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 21, 2020 Report Share Posted January 21, 2020 PICKS SF - 5KC- 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professor Posted January 21, 2020 Report Share Posted January 21, 2020 Niners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 21, 2020 Report Share Posted January 21, 2020 KC an underdog in RENO TGF PICKS SF - 6KC- 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 21, 2020 Report Share Posted January 21, 2020 The big question...........does TGF have 20+ posters Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingKolzig Posted January 21, 2020 Report Share Posted January 21, 2020 Big Game Brock will clean up like he ALWAYS does Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 One key thing here I think I want to study a bit more. How the SF defense does against mobile QB's. Just starting to look at it right now. Glancing through the schedule, it looks like they faced 3 this season in 5 games. Lamar Jackson once, and Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray twice. On the surface it looks like the running QB gives them some trouble. Perhaps helps neutralize that front 4. SF gave up 25, 27, 26, 20, and 21 in those games for an average of 23.8 and went 3-2. In all other games they gave up an average of 14.7 points and went 10-1 (includes the Saints outlier where they gave up 46. Otherwise they gave up 11.6 in 10 games). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 OFF RANK BALT 1stSEA 9thARIZ 16th So under the surface, means very little. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shavencoinpurse Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 Niners by 1 so that all Niners backers win except for Brock giving out that bad line..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 Niners by 1 so that all Niners backers win except for Brock giving out that bad line.....KC may be +2 in Reno at some point in the future. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loman Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 Im on SF as well as the under. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 Im on SF as well as the under.LOLOLYou booking ARTURO??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 So under the surface, means very little. Wrong. As the saying it boxing goes, styles make fights. Some teams match up well with others when they ordinarily wouldn't. There is only one reason why AZ was competitive with SF in two games this season: Kyler Murray. And go tell every DC that has played against Pat Mahomes that his ability to run and make plays with his feet means very little to a pass rush. You will get a good laugh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 He can do that to any team Haven't you learned anything from KOVA over the years??????????? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 He can do that to any team Of course. Duh. But you are missing the point. Ask anyone that knows football and pays attention they will tell you the strength of the SF team (on offense and defense) is the defensive line. That's numero uno. My only point is that a running QB can help neutralize that. So SF won't necessarily be able to pin their ears back and rush four, effectively like they do against most teams. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 You stated.......SF gave up 25, 27, 26, 20, and 21 in those games for an average of 23.8 KC team total is roughly 28 for this game. You're not stating anything not known. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 You stated.......SF gave up 25, 27, 26, 20, and 21 in those games for an average of 23.8 KC team total is roughly 28 for this game. You're not stating anything not known. I also stated that I wanted to take a look at it. And that I just started to look at some numbers. It's a starting point. If you can't see the benefit of a team being able to neutralize another teams glaring strength, then I can't help you. KC is KC. They are usually effective on offense against most teams. SF is SF, they have the best front four in football and it's the catalyst for their defense. KC has a weapon that might be able to neutralize that strength and make it less effective. If you can't see their is value in considering that when analyzing this game, then I can't help you. Maybe you should just stick to betting numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 Thanks for the tremendous insight, as always. -kova- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 KC held Henry down and has been good against the run as of late. Had two poor starts, then blitzed to like 86-17 after getting going. SF isn't too diff from Hou/Ten. Better, yes, but not a drastic difference. Odds of KC starting poor a 3rd game in a row have gotta be low. And if they're not starting poor, they may run away from the jump. BOL 9ers fans and backers. Mahomes will not be denied. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richsox24 Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 All this analyzing of offense, defense, mobile qb, etc is meaningless. Brock is on SF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 PICKS SF - 7KC- 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 All this analyzing of offense, defense, mobile qb, etc is meaningless. Brock is on SF. No shit Sherlock -JBD- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joeybagadonuts Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 All this analyzing of offense, defense, mobile qb, etc is meaningless. Brock is on SF.Spot on. Have already accepted the loss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted January 23, 2020 Report Share Posted January 23, 2020 "We had the Chiefs a little higher than the 49ers in our power ratings," Alan Berg, senior oddsmaker for Caesars Sportsbook, told ESPN on Sunday night. "You can make a case for either team, and I expect decent, balanced action from the public." Bookmaker William Hill reported taking an early $33,000 bet on Kansas City at pick 'em. At the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, more than 70% of the early bets were on the Chiefs, who, for now, are Super Bowl favorites, just as they were when the season started. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redstripe Posted January 24, 2020 Report Share Posted January 24, 2020 Exact Score KC 35 SF 31 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.