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XFL Week 2 Discussion Thread

MikeyLo

By MikeyLo,
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MikeyLo Rockstar

MikeyLo

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Looking Back at Week 1:

 

Results

  • Home Team: 3-1 Straight Up, 3-1 ATS

  • Favorites: 2-2 Straight Up, 2-2 ATS

  • Under: 3-1 Against the Closing Number* (*Seattle/DC went over the opener but Under the closing number)

 

Yards Per Play

  1. DC 6.3

  2. Houston 5.6

  3. Tampa Bay 5.5

  4. St. Louis 5.3

  5. New York 5.0

  6. Seattle 4.8

  7. Dallas 4.5

  8. LA 3.9

 

Initial Takeaways

  • At first glance you might think the clock rules favor the under with the clock running after incomplete passes except for the last 2 minutes of the half - but the clock really slows down in the last 2 minutes stopping after every play to spot the ball. Under was looking great in the Seattle/DC game until the last 2 minutes of the first half. Do any books offer in game wagers? Might be an advantage hitting the in game over at the 2 minute warning of the 1st half.

  • There is more going for it on 4th down as punts out of bounds and into the endzone result in the ball at the 35 yard line

  • I’m not sure key numbers exist in this league with the PAT rules

 

Seattle 19 @ D.C. 31: (DC -7.5, o/u 51)

  • Close first half. DC outscored Seattle 19-6 in 3rd Quarter (no points in 4th Quarter)

  • DC benefitted from a blocked punt TD, INT TD where the receiver fell down, and Seattle fumble inside the 5 yard line. Potentially misleading final score based on that although DC did average 6.3 yards per play vs 4.8 for Seattle

 

LA 17 @ Houston 37: (Houston -6.5, o/u 51.5)

  • Close first half, Houston dominated the second half 19-0

  • Can’t find the exact number but If I remember correctly turnovers were something like 5-0 LA

  • Hou QB Walker looked good

  • LA benched starting QB Kanoff. Backup McClendon didn’t do anything

 

Tampa Bay 3 @ New York 23: (Tampa Bay -4, o/u 52.5)

  • TB looked horrible. As a Bears fan it looked all too familiar for a Trestman coached team. Lots of confusion and Murray looked bad.

  • Oddsmakers loved TB coming into the season. We’ll see how much they adjust?

 

St. Louis 15 @ Dallas 9: (Dallas -9.5,o/u 52.5)

  • Stoops seems pretty disinterested? 

  • Dallas Starting QB Jones didn’t play

  • STL kept the playcalling pretty simple for 22 year old QB Ta’amu. Not too many chances.

  • Lots of penalties for STL

  • STL defense made a lot of plays

 

Looking Ahead to Week 2:

 

Time to Prepare:

  • -1 Day: New York (Gilbride), Tampa Bay (Trestman)

  • Regular: DC (Hamilton), Seattle (Zorn), Dallas (Stoops), St. Louis (Hayes)

  • +1 Day: Houston (Jones), Los Angeles (Moss)

 

Travel

  • Back to Back Home Games: DC (Hamilton), Houston (Jones)

  • Back to Back Road Games: Tampa Bay (Trestman), St. Louis (Hayes)

  • Long Flight: Tampa Bay to Seattle for 2nd Consecutive Road Game

 

New York (1-0) @ DC (1-0)

  • -1 day to prepare for NY (Gilbride), plus travel

  • Think NY may be a little overvalued based on week 1 result but my theory is that was more a result of TB being bad than NY being good. We’ll see, but I lean DC in their second straight home game if line is under a TD.

 

Tampa Bay (0-1) @ Seattle (0-1)

  • Seattle with an extra day to prepare and long flight for Tampa Bay (Trestman)

  • Lean: SEA. TB has a lot of figure out and a short week with a long flight to do it. TB was a road fav this week. If they are again I may hammer SEA.

 

Dallas (0-1) @ LA (0-1)

  • LA (Moss) extra day to prepare

  • Need to monitor Dallas QB situation - sounds like Jones has barely practiced

  • Initial lean to LA. 

 

St. Louis (1-0) @ Houston (1-0)

  • Houston (Jones) 1 more day to prepare than St. Louis (Hayes)

  • Contrasting styles. Hou Air Raid vs. STL RPO

  • Initial thought is that STL offense will have a hard time keeping up with Houston offense

 

My Power Rankings

  1. Houston - Really complete win on Saturday. Seems like the kind of league that June Jones could really be tough in.

  2. DC - Cardale Jones and offense looked good in Week 1 but they may have been a little lucky with blocked punt and pick 6

  3. St. Louis - Only team to get a road win in week 1 and they did it as the biggest underdog of the week. Defense looked really good against a backup QB. Need to clean up the penalties but Ta’amu showed poise and skill.

  4. New York - Only defense to hold a team under 6 points in week 1. McGloin solid in 23-3 win.

  5. Seattle - Hung with DC on the road but special teams and turnovers let them down.

  6. Dallas - Disappointing home loss to open the season. Can Landry Jones turn them around?

  7. LA - Hung with Houston for a half before getting completely shut down in the 2nd half. Not sure how much of that was how good Houston is or how bad they are?

  8. Tampa Bay - Trestman’s team looked confused and Murray looked really bad. Brutal week one showing.

 

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