Machiavelli Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 PSU loss yesterday stings, so I'm questioning my leans for today. But, curious who is on either side of this game and may chime in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 i have that line as bang on. Lville -9.7 my model only crunches numbers and does not take into account injuries, lineups, recent form, etc, so take it for what you will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 butler, wofford, fordham and cal baptist for me today. also gonna bet utah state 1h up to -13, because wyoming can barely score 10 in first 20 min. i have that full game line at -20.4 though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted February 19, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 Thanks. Do you directly go by your models? Or do you sometimes vary? I believe I asked rito this same question and he was firm in going with whatever his model spit out. But it's something I always try and ask people who model, as I'd think sometimes one would feel the urge to go against their system if a 'unique situation' presented itself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 i almost always just bet the model. laying off something would require something very significant, and tbh i dont even look at injuries and lineups, so 99.99% of the time i dont even hear/know if someone is out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted February 19, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 i almost always just bet the model. laying off something would require something very significant, and tbh i dont even look at injuries and lineups, so 99.99% of the time i dont even hear/know if someone is out. Gotcha. yeah...yesterday my angle was thinking that good guard of UI would sit out/take it easy. Oops! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3Musketeers Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 Syracuse lost 4 of last 5 ACC games BUT they are 5-0 ats last 5 on the road. They have the talent to play with anyone. If you back Louisville you better hope Syracuse won't be drilling their 3's tonight. Me, I see this game as Louisville -5 maybe 6. Both need this win and Syracuse ALMOST pulled off the upset against Florida State who are playing good ball. Don't be surprised to see a Syracuse win either. Good luck tonight! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3Musketeers Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 i almost always just bet the model. laying off something would require something very significant, and tbh i dont even look at injuries and lineups, so 99.99% of the time i dont even hear/know if someone is out. Do you factor in injuries lineups etc. AFTER you get your models input? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 Do you factor in injuries lineups etc. AFTER you get your models input? no Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasson621 Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 over 142 in the game looks good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 At -9.........and -8.5 at some obscure shops. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted February 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 20, 2020 Was a good game and result. Thx for those who chimed in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolinaKid Posted February 20, 2020 Report Share Posted February 20, 2020 congrats on the games, good job last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted February 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 20, 2020 congrats on the games, good job last night.Thanks. Winning two more tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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