rito Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 The virus test is apparently only 80% accurate. So 1/5 tests give the wrong answer. Assume 1% of people have the virus. If you get a positive test, what is the actual chance you have the virus? $100 Bitcoin to first correct answer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatboatboat Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 20% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
14 Words Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Need more info - can't answer without knowing the % of world population that has been tested thus far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeman Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 I'll say 80% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Lingus Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 0.8 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatboatboat Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 It remains 1 in 5 Same % false positive as false negative Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ERBtheGREAT Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 6%It’s that or 0.6% Both are Final answer..... My percentage of being right is 50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ERBtheGREAT Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 That was my next guess boat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Screw Andrews Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Good job merlin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 There’s been 100 people tested..... Only one really has it Test clears 80 Test claims 20 So you are part of 20 people and 19 will be cleared So 1 out of 20’is 5% 5% is the answer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 It’s 5% and that my friends is a Fact Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeman Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 There’s been 100 people tested..... Only one really has it Test clears 80 Test claims 20 So you are part of 20 people and 19 will be cleared So 1 out of 20’is 5% 5% is the answerstop, none of that was in the question, he got a positive test, it's 80% accurate, so there's an 80% chance it was right. The 1% has nothing to do with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 BS......Rito said 1% of people really have it That’s the key and that’s why it’s 5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ERBtheGREAT Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 100% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 stop, none of that was in the question, he got a positive test, it's 80% accurate, so there's an 80% chance it was right. The 1% has nothing to do with it.20% wrong So 20 people are left wondering....and it’s only 1 who will die which is 5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Lingus Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 .2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 The virus test is apparently only 80% accurate. So 1/5 tests give the wrong answer. Assume 1% of people have the virus. If you get a positive test, what is the actual chance you have the virus? $100 Bitcoin to first correct answer100 people tested and only 1 really has it Doc clears 80 and picks 20 Boatdummy is one (1) he is sweating it out with 19 others What are his chances his boat has sunk? 5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kovacsbar Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 12.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 It sure in the fvck ain’t 80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bookbraker Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 8 out of 10 who test positive actually have it. 2 do not Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 8 out of 10 who test positive actually have it. 2 do notGet your glasses on and read again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 12% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 8 out of 10 who test positive actually have it. 2 do not On a Monday? Moron. Get your fuckin' weed whacker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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