Why does Trump only have a 33% chance of winning the election at best?

[theguesser]

3 hours ago, Jimmy Hoffa said:

CNN's Don Lemon compares Trump supporters to drug addicts: 'They have to hit rock bottom' to get help

Lemon said he had to get rid of many friends of his because they were 'too far gone' with their support for President Trump

Valid comparison, but not as accurate as Cult members that need to be deprogrammed.   https://culteducation.com/directory-of-cult-recovery-resources.html

[theguesser]

5 minutes ago, sleepy said:

After Trump wins we need to start purging the left from society. We need to find all the Biden voters and give them the option of either getting shot in the head and buried in a pit or 1 year mandatory hard labor and reconditioning.

Next to the Totally gone Raise, you're the next one that will be on suicide watch.  I hope you have a good support system of family and friends that will take care of you.  

[sleepy]

1 minute ago, theguesser said:

Next to the Totally gone Raise, you're the next one that will be on suicide watch.  I hope you have a good support system of family and friends that will take care of you.  

Even if Biden gets lucky I will opt out of all his bullshit. Not going to wear a mask. Not going to stay locked in my home. Not paying any of the bullshit taxes, not doing any mandatory diversity training, not going to quit driving my car to save the planet, will continue to call out faggs for being g ay, will support people killing social workers for trying to take their guns, will use plastic bags when I buy groceries, will turn my heat on full blast during the winter and open my windows when it gets too hot, will forward all my socialism paychecks to militia groups that say they will kill democrats.

[Jimmy Hoffa]

17 minutes ago, sleepy said:

After Trump wins we need to start purging the left from society. We need to find all the Biden voters and give them the option of either getting shot in the head and buried in a pit or 1 year mandatory hard labor and reconditioning.

Great idea.

We can open Ronald Reagan Memorial Education Camps for those that wish to better themselves while providing us the much needed free labor. 

The others are unnecessary...

[theguesser]

8 minutes ago, sleepy said:

Even if Biden gets lucky I will opt out of all his bullshit. Not going to wear a mask. Not going to stay locked in my home. Not paying any of the bullshit taxes, not doing any mandatory diversity training, not going to quit driving my car to save the planet, will continue to call out faggs for being g ay, will support people killing social workers for trying to take their guns, will use plastic bags when I buy groceries, will turn my heat on full blast during the winter and open my windows when it gets too hot, will forward all my socialism paychecks to militia groups that say they will kill democrats.

Great, enjoy Jail.   They'll take good care of you.  Maybe you'll get lucky and share a Cell with your Traitor Cult Leader someday.  

[ajt]

2 hours ago, sleepy said:

will continue to call out faggs for being g ay

 

[theguesser]

Great example of how the Betting Markets KNOW The Idiot and his crew are gonna lie, cheat, and try to steal this thing, while the Raw numbers say they have little shot.  Understandable because the numbers crunchers like Nate Silver can only crunch the numbers in what they think is a fair game.   Bettors know it's not and bet accordingly.  By the Raw numbers, Uncle Joe should be a much, much, much stronger betting favorite than he is. 

 

Betfair Exchange

 

@BetfairExchange

·

18m

 

 

How do the 2020 betting and polls compare to 2016? Four days out... Clinton led by 1.8% on the RCP average. Her odds were 1.37 (73%). Biden leads by 7.4% on same RCP measure. His odds are 1.53 (65%)

[Deemer]

Hillary was -600

[D-Hustle]

George, make Trump the favorite at your book.

[RaiseThese]

Guesser knows the Dems are already cheating and still wants to push that Trump is going to cheat nonsense.

Shameful but standard for scumbag LIBS. He is gonna love Trump for 8 more years

 

2 hours ago, theguesser said:

Great example of how the Betting Markets KNOW The Idiot and his crew are gonna lie, cheat, and try to steal this thing, while the Raw numbers say they have little shot.  Understandable because the numbers crunchers like Nate Silver can only crunch the numbers in what they think is a fair game.   Bettors know it's not and bet accordingly.  By the Raw numbers, Uncle Joe should be a much, much, much stronger betting favorite than he is. 

 

Betfair Exchange

 

@BetfairExchange

·

18m

 

 

How do the 2020 betting and polls compare to 2016? Four days out... Clinton led by 1.8% on the RCP average. Her odds were 1.37 (73%). Biden leads by 7.4% on same RCP measure. His odds are 1.53 (65%)

 

[FrogFries]

5 hours ago, sleepy said:

Even if Biden gets lucky I will opt out of all his bullshit. Not going to wear a mask. Not going to stay locked in my home. Not paying any of the bullshit taxes, not doing any mandatory diversity training, not going to quit driving my car to save the planet, will continue to call out faggs for being g ay, will support people killing social workers for trying to take their guns, will use plastic bags when I buy groceries, will turn my heat on full blast during the winter and open my windows when it gets too hot, will forward all my socialism paychecks to militia groups that say they will kill democrats.

One thing, you will do is social distance. Just Saiyn!!!!! 

[RaiseThese]

Hey you guys were right FOX is more biased than CNN and the rest of FAKE NEWS

Look how they kept reporting news vs trying to censor it

 

[RaiseThese]

YOU commie pieces of shit had better learn how to swim because....

 

[FrogFries]

[mikeman]

Florida Democrats Panic as Election Day Approaches: ‘We’ve Got to Stop the Bleeding’

Democrats are expressing unease as the election enters its final stretch, acknowledging that progressives are not seeing sufficient voter turnout in Florida’s Miami-Dade — the county in which Democrats need a strong showing to flip the state blue — particularly among young, minority voters.

Statewide, Republicans have outpaced their opposition in early voting, holding a 474,229 early voter advantage and narrowing the Democrats’ overall lead (which they hold because of a sizeable increase in absentee voting) to less than 164,000 on Friday. As of Thursday, 53 percent of Democrat voters had turned out to vote in the crucial blue county compared to the 59 percent turnout for Republicans. The six-point lead is “twice the margin Republicans had at this point in 2016,” according to Politico.

Among Hispanic voters, who make up nearly 70 percent of the county’s population, the deficit is even bigger — 9 points,” the outlet reported.

Matt Isbell, a “Florida-based Democratic data analyst,” told Politico the issue with Hispanic turnout appears to be worse in Miami-Dade than nearby counties.

“Democrats have a big turnout issue in the Hispanic community in Miami-Dade,” he said, noting that Hispanic turnout for Republicans is 57 percent compared to 48 percent for Democrats.

“This large of a gap doesn’t exist in Broward or Orange. It is a Miami problem,” he said.

Kimberly Guilfoyle, the national finance chair of the Trump Victory Finance Committee, expressed confidence in President Trump’s odds in Florida in an interview with Breitbart News this week. She attributed her sentiments to, particularly, the “influx of support from Latinos, the Hispanic community, [and] everybody coming out for Trump.”

“Just comparing the juxtaposition between 2016 and 2020, to see the robust support from Latinos and Hispanic Americans coming out in enthusiasm and record numbers for President Trump at the rallies, at the bus stops, everything I’m seeing across Florida tells me that this has been a game-changer for the president,” she said — an observation that speaks to the Democrats’ mounting fears.

State Sen. Oscar Braynon (D) also acknowledged the shortcomings in voter turnout for Democrats thus far, particularly among the black community.

“There is not the turnout here [Miami] in the black community that I’ve seen in the past. I can speculate about the reasons, but the fact is it remains concerning,” he said.

For those reasons, Democrats are “sounding the alarm” as members of their party are not showing up in Miami-Dade in the same volume seen four years ago.

Democrat officials and operatives largely attribute it to the Biden campaign’s lack of a ground game in the Sunshine State.

[mikeman]

A good comment I saw on polling...

“We live in a country where people will lie to their accountant, they’ll lie to their doctor, they’ll lie to their priest,” says Cahaly. “And we’re supposed to believe they shed all of that when they get on the telephone with a stranger?”

[Jimmy Hoffa]

20 minutes ago, mikeman said:

Florida Democrats Panic as Election Day Approaches: ‘We’ve Got to Stop the Bleeding’

Democrats are expressing unease as the election enters its final stretch, acknowledging that progressives are not seeing sufficient voter turnout in Florida’s Miami-Dade — the county in which Democrats need a strong showing to flip the state blue — particularly among young, minority voters.

Statewide, Republicans have outpaced their opposition in early voting, holding a 474,229 early voter advantage and narrowing the Democrats’ overall lead (which they hold because of a sizeable increase in absentee voting) to less than 164,000 on Friday. As of Thursday, 53 percent of Democrat voters had turned out to vote in the crucial blue county compared to the 59 percent turnout for Republicans. The six-point lead is “twice the margin Republicans had at this point in 2016,” according to Politico.

Among Hispanic voters, who make up nearly 70 percent of the county’s population, the deficit is even bigger — 9 points,” the outlet reported.

Matt Isbell, a “Florida-based Democratic data analyst,” told Politico the issue with Hispanic turnout appears to be worse in Miami-Dade than nearby counties.

“Democrats have a big turnout issue in the Hispanic community in Miami-Dade,” he said, noting that Hispanic turnout for Republicans is 57 percent compared to 48 percent for Democrats.

“This large of a gap doesn’t exist in Broward or Orange. It is a Miami problem,” he said.

Kimberly Guilfoyle, the national finance chair of the Trump Victory Finance Committee, expressed confidence in President Trump’s odds in Florida in an interview with Breitbart News this week. She attributed her sentiments to, particularly, the “influx of support from Latinos, the Hispanic community, [and] everybody coming out for Trump.”

“Just comparing the juxtaposition between 2016 and 2020, to see the robust support from Latinos and Hispanic Americans coming out in enthusiasm and record numbers for President Trump at the rallies, at the bus stops, everything I’m seeing across Florida tells me that this has been a game-changer for the president,” she said — an observation that speaks to the Democrats’ mounting fears.

State Sen. Oscar Braynon (D) also acknowledged the shortcomings in voter turnout for Democrats thus far, particularly among the black community.

“There is not the turnout here [Miami] in the black community that I’ve seen in the past. I can speculate about the reasons, but the fact is it remains concerning,” he said.

For those reasons, Democrats are “sounding the alarm” as members of their party are not showing up in Miami-Dade in the same volume seen four years ago.

Democrat officials and operatives largely attribute it to the Biden campaign’s lack of a ground game in the Sunshine State.

They're going to have to pay their voters more this year, I'd suggest throwing in a can of malt liquor if they really want to increase the turnout of their base.

[mikeman]

Trump voters on the move...it's like a train in the distance...

 

[rjt]

32 minutes ago, mikeman said:

Florida Democrats Panic as Election Day Approaches: ‘We’ve Got to Stop the Bleeding’

Democrats are expressing unease as the election enters its final stretch, acknowledging that progressives are not seeing sufficient voter turnout in Florida’s Miami-Dade — the county in which Democrats need a strong showing to flip the state blue — particularly among young, minority voters.

Statewide, Republicans have outpaced their opposition in early voting, holding a 474,229 early voter advantage and narrowing the Democrats’ overall lead (which they hold because of a sizeable increase in absentee voting) to less than 164,000 on Friday. As of Thursday, 53 percent of Democrat voters had turned out to vote in the crucial blue county compared to the 59 percent turnout for Republicans. The six-point lead is “twice the margin Republicans had at this point in 2016,” according to Politico.

Among Hispanic voters, who make up nearly 70 percent of the county’s population, the deficit is even bigger — 9 points,” the outlet reported.

Matt Isbell, a “Florida-based Democratic data analyst,” told Politico the issue with Hispanic turnout appears to be worse in Miami-Dade than nearby counties.

“Democrats have a big turnout issue in the Hispanic community in Miami-Dade,” he said, noting that Hispanic turnout for Republicans is 57 percent compared to 48 percent for Democrats.

“This large of a gap doesn’t exist in Broward or Orange. It is a Miami problem,” he said.

Kimberly Guilfoyle, the national finance chair of the Trump Victory Finance Committee, expressed confidence in President Trump’s odds in Florida in an interview with Breitbart News this week. She attributed her sentiments to, particularly, the “influx of support from Latinos, the Hispanic community, [and] everybody coming out for Trump.”

“Just comparing the juxtaposition between 2016 and 2020, to see the robust support from Latinos and Hispanic Americans coming out in enthusiasm and record numbers for President Trump at the rallies, at the bus stops, everything I’m seeing across Florida tells me that this has been a game-changer for the president,” she said — an observation that speaks to the Democrats’ mounting fears.

State Sen. Oscar Braynon (D) also acknowledged the shortcomings in voter turnout for Democrats thus far, particularly among the black community.

“There is not the turnout here [Miami] in the black community that I’ve seen in the past. I can speculate about the reasons, but the fact is it remains concerning,” he said.

For those reasons, Democrats are “sounding the alarm” as members of their party are not showing up in Miami-Dade in the same volume seen four years ago.

Democrat officials and operatives largely attribute it to the Biden campaign’s lack of a ground game in the Sunshine State.

Does anyone expect Biden to win Florida?  Would be a disaster for Trump to lose there

[RaiseThese]

Biden aint winning Florida, yes it would be a disaster for Trump to lose there.

 

[mikeman]

3 minutes ago, rjt said:

Does anyone expect Biden to win Florida?  Would be a disaster for Trump to lose there

Ahh, I see, now we're playing the reduced expectations game.

That's always a good sign...yea we didn't really care about that one anyway.

[RaiseThese]

Does anyone expect Trump to win PA, would be a disaster for Harris to lose there.

4 minutes ago, mikeman said:

Ahh, I see, now we're playing the reduced expectations game.

That's always a good sign...yea we didn't really care about that one anyway.

 

[rjt]

6 minutes ago, mikeman said:

Ahh, I see, now we're playing the reduced expectations game.

That's always a good sign...yea we didn't really care about that one anyway.

No.  Biden doesn't need Florida.  If he loses PA, then he's in trouble