IAG Posted April 19, 2023 Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 9 hours ago, Jimmy Hoffa said: Great start, let's keep riding this. +1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted April 19, 2023 Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 this was one that i used to chart not even close to as lucrative as those nba score 1st (with guys like brook lopez winning every tip for brooklyn), before the books adjusted lines... they actually used to just have the favorite in the game shaded to score 1st for mlb, this could be fine-tuned to avoid good pitchers, however some of the better pitchers are slow starters and have ridiculously high 1st inning era/whip the advantage is all in how many books you have available to line shop, and how much you can bet potawatomi here has YES pirates/rockies at -150 with unlimited max (kiosks)... bookmaker is -174... betonline was -139 before i bet it so of course it's a shit bet at -174 but a pretty good one at -139 if anyone plays at betnow, they use betonline's prop markets, but you can bet 1000 (shh don't tell them) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moldoveanu Posted April 19, 2023 Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 BAS had rockies 1st inn score -220 to much juice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 19, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 wed 4/19 - all bets over 1/2 run in first inning san fran +110 arizona -150 pittsburgh -150 mets -108 atlanta -115 cleveland +104 texas -120 angels -120 minnesota -113 toronto -120 tampa -115 phlly -120 cubs +115 milwaukee -114 balt (no line yet) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 19, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 2 hours ago, milwaukee mike said: this was one that i used to chart not even close to as lucrative as those nba score 1st (with guys like brook lopez winning every tip for brooklyn), before the books adjusted lines... they actually used to just have the favorite in the game shaded to score 1st for mlb, this could be fine-tuned to avoid good pitchers, however some of the better pitchers are slow starters and have ridiculously high 1st inning era/whip the advantage is all in how many books you have available to line shop, and how much you can bet potawatomi here has YES pirates/rockies at -150 with unlimited max (kiosks)... bookmaker is -174... betonline was -139 before i bet it so of course it's a shit bet at -174 but a pretty good one at -139 if anyone plays at betnow, they use betonline's prop markets, but you can bet 1000 (shh don't tell them) good stuff MM. Im only using 3 books, 2 of them are instate only and one offshore. I wish I had more time to line shop, because you are right, it will make a huge difference at the end of the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted April 19, 2023 Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 Bovada has some pretty good savings on these, I’m seeing .20c diff from bookmaker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted April 19, 2023 Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Deemer said: Bovada has some pretty good savings on these, I’m seeing .20c diff from bookmaker good stuff pound pound pound until they cut your limits to $2.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted April 19, 2023 Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 42 minutes ago, milwaukee mike said: good stuff pound pound pound until they cut your limits to $2.50 They slashed me hard on golf. But other than that they’re pretty liberal with me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 19, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 19, 2023 Thanks Deemer. Have to check them out. adding Batlimore +100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 What book gives a 1st inning line of 0.5 ? It’s simply ‘will there be a score in the 1st inning… BTW…..this won’t work….there’s offset ideas of maybe ways to play it but every game every day will result in negative bank roll and that’s a Fact!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairWarning Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 10 minutes ago, Teddy kgb said: What book gives a 1st inning line of 0.5 ? It’s simply ‘will there be a score in the 1st inning… BTW…..this won’t work….there’s offset ideas of maybe ways to play it but every game every day will result in negative bank roll and that’s a Fact!!! Books like FD and DK do. They offer a lot of the props in 0.5 o/u, must be faster to enter I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nothing but winners Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 12 minutes ago, Teddy kgb said: What book gives a 1st inning line of 0.5 ? It’s simply ‘will there be a score in the 1st inning… BTW…..this won’t work….there’s offset ideas of maybe ways to play it but every game every day will result in negative bank roll and that’s a Fact!!! Down south’s place.... oh wait you can’t play there as you are a STIFF...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 20, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 39 minutes ago, Teddy kgb said: What book gives a 1st inning line of 0.5 ? It’s simply ‘will there be a score in the 1st inning… BTW…..this won’t work….there’s offset ideas of maybe ways to play it but every game every day will result in negative bank roll and that’s a Fact!!! yeah, your right. You should just go back to those offshore casinos. Much better chance to make money Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 20, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 7-8 -1.43 for wednesday 18-13 +395 ytd Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richsox24 Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Tomorrow's Newspaper said: yeah, your right. You should just go back to those offshore casinos. Much better chance to make money It's a no lose proposition Win...collect Lose...stiff Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 An angle that would actually work (this one wont 100% fact) is to track all teams for 162 games and find each and everyone’s longest streak of their games which ended up with no score in the 1st Find the median avg and use that as a guide to know when to start betting and press until 1u made……do this for all 30teams and make an easy 30u Greatest system ever… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickBateman Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 16 minutes ago, richsox24 said: It's a no lose proposition Win...collect Lose...stiff That fact that he doesn't even acknowledge it and is still allowed to post here is pathetic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vitalyo Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 You guys maight want to take a look at betting every game 1st inning Over 0,5 run with another bet Over 1.5 hits in the 1st inning so there 2 wagers on the same game. Years ago I did this with the EU books and the Asians, the math works way better then just betting 1st inning Over 0.5 run. There plenty of single home runs in the 1st inning with just 1 hit and there scoreless innings with 2-4 hits. All I can tell it has to be 2 wagers, you will avoid loosing streaks and make money. Maybe the odds are changed, but from my naked eye doesn't look like it. I don't mind sharing I got way better tricks to make money. Gl. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairWarning Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 6 hours ago, Tomorrow's Newspaper said: 7-8 -1.43 for wednesday 18-13 +395 ytd I would be leery of afternoon getaway days and Sundays where both teams are traveling after the game. It seems like a lot of core players sit these out. Just food for thought. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 20, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 6 hours ago, FairWarning said: I would be leery of afternoon getaway days and Sundays where both teams are traveling after the game. It seems like a lot of core players sit these out. Just food for thought. for now I want to track all games to see how it does. I may adjust if I see trends in a few months, but for now Im keeping my opinions out of it, and just blind betting them. Good points made probably but my thoughts are that the books also know this and lines are adjusted. Often when we think we have an angle, the books knew it way before we did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 20, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 12 hours ago, vitalyo said: You guys maight want to take a look at betting every game 1st inning Over 0,5 run with another bet Over 1.5 hits in the 1st inning so there 2 wagers on the same game. Years ago I did this with the EU books and the Asians, the math works way better then just betting 1st inning Over 0.5 run. There plenty of single home runs in the 1st inning with just 1 hit and there scoreless innings with 2-4 hits. All I can tell it has to be 2 wagers, you will avoid loosing streaks and make money. Maybe the odds are changed, but from my naked eye doesn't look like it. I don't mind sharing I got way better tricks to make money. Gl. I llke it. Thanks for sharing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 20, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 18-13 +395 ytd minnesota -114 angels -105 cincy -114 colorado -120 dodgers -130 san diego -125 mets +100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richsox24 Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 1ST game today...winner Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairWarning Posted April 20, 2023 Report Share Posted April 20, 2023 3 hours ago, Tomorrow's Newspaper said: for now I want to track all games to see how it does. I may adjust if I see trends in a few months, but for now Im keeping my opinions out of it, and just blind betting them. Good points made probably but my thoughts are that the books also know this and lines are adjusted. Often when we think we have an angle, the books knew it way before we did. I pretty much quit Sundays a while ago, too many lineup changes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomorrow's Newspaper Posted April 21, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 21, 2023 Teased with a big day winning the first 4 and then lose the last 3. 4-3 +45 ytd 22-16 +440 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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