hustledouble

Cardinals have more outright wins as an underdog in the last five years than any other team. Added more already this year.

^ Check that. Vikings apparently reactivated him already? Kind of amazing.

Either way I don't think AP is going to be re-activated in light of the allegations pending whatever happens with the criminal charges. They'll probably follow NFL's lead. I'm surprised they haven't suspended him yet but they might be waiting for the criminal charges to sort themselves out? They're probably gun shy to do anything without legal advice at the moment given the Rice fiasco.

Either way, assuming AP doesn't play they're can't move the football without him. Cassel is a grease fire and Bridgewater is a project. I can't imagine AP playing next week, but you could wait if you're cautious. By then the number might have moved quite a bit.

That's my long answer. Short answer: Yes, naturally.

Bergman is a spot starter thrown into regular action and has had pretty much all of his bad games at home. And of course Hernandez. 11 is a big number though. Get it done Kinger.

Manziel's speed will be exposed more in the NFL. To me it's kind of a coin flip right now if he'll make it or not. But watching the games, Hoyer looks much more game ready.

He's gone through everyone. Sans Pacquiao I think the general public considers anyone he faces to be a tomato can...

2-0 yesterday off the miserable Saturday. Passing on tonight's card, will look at MNF live. Good luck tonight!

Ok had the chance to move around money this past weekend with bitcoin and Nitro. I messed around with 2 coins. (just under 1k) The ability to move the money is spectacular. The book Nitro leaves a bit to be desired however. Not the easiest to navigate, options are limited, and lines are juiced up pretty good. Great concept though and really enjoy being able to move MY MONEY when I want and how I want.

 

Bitcoin experience has been an A+

I actually like Nitrogen's user interface but I wish, like you said, they had more options and less juice. A lot of people swear by Anonibet and bitcoinsports, but I haven't tried those yet. If you give them a try, MR. NBA, give us a review?

If they decide to go that route, what can Washington get for RGIII off two severe injuries? He's probably not going for a first right? They gave up so much for that 2nd overall pick.

76% on the over right now. Blind, that is the only thing that seems appealing but I don't think I can play it. Seems like a trap. Player props maybe is the way to go tonight? They've been a little low on Luck.

yes it is but lets not fool people into thinking it's that easy to win. its not. Jimmy is a veteran live game bettor i believe he has a edge but a newbie might get beat up at first.

Certainly not "easy". But what in this is really easy, right? But it is exploitable if you're good at it and so far as it comes to the NFL certainly more edge available than betting mid-week sides and totals or something.

The most trouble for live bettors is chasing, I'd guess.

Some of us have been live betting since hustle was in knee pants.

 

 

Big props on stating the obvious. Did the big, bad kitty scare you in running to JK because your little tweeter game stopped working?

 

 

 

 

Douche...

I never said anything to JK about that guy, that was all him. I did ask King/boat to delete two posts here where he'd posted personal information about my friend (because he thought it was me). That's not fair to someone who isn't even registered on any of the forums.

Maybe I am not the bad guy here.

Who here live bets frequently?

Ideally, I guess, you want to have 3 to 5 books at your disposal to do this. But at that point, you're can essentially be "trading".

I've lost money overall on the NFL in the first two weeks. But I have made money on all my live positions in NFL these two weeks, excluding New Orleans which I picked up at pk +120 today and let ride with Cleveland +185 on the table.

Depending on which books you use, there were either 9 or 10 games with live arbitrage situations in the NFL today. This essentially means in about 75% of the games today there were opportunities to purchase money lines on each side with +$. The number was similar in week one.

Even if you're not into/don't like arbitrage there's plenty of opportunity with basic math.

There are several free win expectancy calculators available (such as FanGraphs for MLB, Advanced Football Analytics, etc.) which can pick off win expectancy differences. Last night in a college game there was a 3 minute sequence in which a winning team was priced at a 73% win expectancy when their true number was 89%. Totals are often being hot-shot live as pure "points scored x whatever time is left" formula, and it doesn't take much to figure out why it's a mistake to be pricing totals based on the exact same thing happening for the duration of the game.

Live betting sort of depends both on your ability to quickly sort through a lot of statistical information and do some quick math in your head with the more "art"-type ability to understand the flow of a game and the match-ups you're seeing. If I was better at it, I'd try to do it exclusively.

There is a big window there, I think, that the books will close sooner than later.

Bears have 32 yards on 25 plays. Six punts, four three-and-outs. Good start!

So it should have been tied if the refs knew the timeout rule? I didn't have either side, but... man. Awful refs seem to follow the Packers around.

Made better decisions/tried harder with college. College is expensive when you believe your own hype

I died a death yesterday, but did okay in Week 1 and 2. I posted Illinois in my picks thread and then forgot (thankfully) to actually bet it, but a couple of plays I didn't post died. I think I was the only one in the universe who was moosed on UTSA/Oklahoma State under, but that won't stop me from being annoyed about it.

Good luck the rest of the way ERB and company.

when Peyton won week 1, I seem to remember them mentioning that he was joining Brett Favre

 

they asked him about it after the game and it said he hates those stats because it means he's old, but it's always nice to have his name with Favre's

I assumed it was active only like some others, but if it's not active, it could be anybody who has played for two teams. Favre is definitely a good guess. I remember them mentioning Peyton too.

Peyton

Alex Smith?

Then Eli throws a pick. The Giants are worse than I expected.

Touchdown Cards on their first drive!

Welp, brutally murdered yesterday, as I worried.

Today:

New England -2.5 -130

Patriots/Vikings Under 49 -105

Will look live for the rest.

Annnd now it's 7-7. SC might have the worst zone defense I have ever seen...

SC scores first. Georgia moved down to -2.5 +100 and the -105 at BetOnline....

2nd Half

Florida International +12.5 -110