Blue Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 Post yours here. I'll be working on mine this week I'll post mine by Friday. Good luck this season fellas . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Dutchman Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 why tie up your money for all season? but on the other hand, if you are really good at this, its probably is better to tie up ALL your money on futures, and not bet the single games during the season and thereby ultimately have a winning season... ...probably the best shot a newbie has, come to think on it... ...but I'm still not posting anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Diabler Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 why tie up your money for all season? Why not? If you have the money, wont miss it for a few months, and think you have an edge, then I have never understood why people say this. Now if you have a limited bankroll to gamble with, then I can understand to a point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Dutchman Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 Why not? If you have the money, wont miss it for a few months, and think you have an edge, then I have never understood why people say this. Now if you have a limited bankroll to gamble with, then I can understand to a point. ...maybe you need to study the financial formula for interest, but again if the win% is negative, long term is best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tripp Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 I get the longterm value argument but I do this for fun not as a financial +EV decision. Last two years or so i've gotten really into making very big wagers (for me) on futures and having the excitement of cheering it on the entire season. I put BY FAR my most money in play for the NFL season. I have the following wagers for this season: Detroit over 8.5 wins Carolina under 8.5 wins Miami over 8 wins Houston under 7.5 wins Cleveland over 6.5 wins Seattle under 11 wins Also have a few hundered on GB Packers to win the SB Prices not included since i have them all at varying prices. I add to these types of bets little by little as soon as they come out and end up with between 700-1000 on each after a couple months. Most of them are near the current prices. I got Carolina at a really good number around -32 ish and most of Miami at a bad number around even. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Diabler Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 ...maybe you need to study the financial formula for interest, but again if the win% is negative, long term is best. How much money are you really going to put down on a future bet? Maybe a thousand dollars at most? Whats the interest on a thousand dollars after four months? 3 dollars? :smiley-laughing001: I have never put more than $100 down on a future. So for me, Im losing out on 30 cents. :smileys-wink-367638 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Dutchman Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 How much money are you really going to put down on a future bet? Maybe a thousand dollars at most? Whats the interest on a thousand dollars after four months? 3 dollars? :smiley-laughing001: I have never put more than $100 down on a future. So for me, Im losing out on 30 cents. :smileys-wink-367638 dude, that $1000 bet at kelly fraction can turn into $6000 (avg) if you are hitting 60% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gijoe066 Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 under Houston 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Taylor Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 Chiefs under 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 Bills u6.5 +140 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theguesser Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 Carolina Under 8.5(High Vig, I'd go Under 8 at more reasonable Vig if I could find it) Hous Under 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Posted September 2, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 Ended up only playing one season total. Miami Dolphins over 7-65. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingKolzig Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 rams still o6.5 -115 at bovada my limtis are slashed. but they will go 3-3 in the division and might win 9 overall. easy schedule out of division Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batemanpatrickl Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 rams still o6.5 -115 at bovada my limtis are slashed. but they will go 3-3 in the division and might win 9 overall. easy schedule out of division Your limits are NOT slashed. You like to tell everyone how you are limited and how great of a gambler you are. Truth be told you are 35 year old schitzo who still lives with his parents. Get a life. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ronald Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 I get the longterm value argument but I do this for fun not as a financial +EV decision. Last two years or so i've gotten really into making very big wagers (for me) on futures and having the excitement of cheering it on the entire season. I put BY FAR my most money in play for the NFL season. I have the following wagers for this season: Detroit over 8.5 wins Carolina under 8.5 wins Miami over 8 wins Houston under 7.5 wins Cleveland over 6.5 wins Seattle under 11 wins Also have a few hundered on GB Packers to win the SB Prices not included since i have them all at varying prices. I add to these types of bets little by little as soon as they come out and end up with between 700-1000 on each after a couple months. Most of them are near the current prices. I got Carolina at a really good number around -32 ish and most of Miami at a bad number around even. Have the opposite of these three. You should try to get off of them NOW!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingKolzig Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 Your limits are NOT slashed. You like to tell everyone how you are limited and how great of a gambler you are. Truth be told you are 35 year old schitzo who still lives with his parents. Get a life. $900 bet on that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batemanpatrickl Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 $900 bet on that? I will parlay the following: 1) Your limits are not slashed, ANYWHERE 2) You do not have a job and live off disability 3) Your parents still pay your bills 4) You have no life, NONE How much you want to be schitzo? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 Jacksonville OVER 5 Indy OVER 9.5 Pittsburgh OVER 8.5 St. Louis OVER 6.5 Tampa Bay OVER 7 San Francisco UNDER 10.5 Philly OVER 9 Dallas UNDER 7.5 Washington UNDER 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingKolzig Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 ok so a classic redirection backdown. i could post a video of my bovada prop limits being cut to a measly $100. for all props but you dont have $900 if your life depended on it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batemanpatrickl Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 ok so a classic redirection backdown. i could post a video of my bovada prop limits being cut to a measly $100. for all props but you dont have $900 if your life depended on it I'm not the one living with my parents Kolpig. Post a winning prop ticket better yet a screenshot of your $4,000 + balance. Prove that I am a liar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wrigley Posted September 2, 2014 Report Share Posted September 2, 2014 Minnesota over 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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