Teddy kgb Posted May 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 good info.Good info if you play at pinny.....BM has a screen and up top it tells you the max bet the whole time as the game goes and it's always way over 500 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted May 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 you ever get fucked bigtime doing that? Like +120 becoming -125?Never got burned that bad....prolly 10 cent max I'm pretty fast on the draw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted May 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Would have liked to follow the wild swings in the sd chi game......huge dog goes up 2-0 down 4-2 and back up 6-4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 I would Teddy but I'm at work and it's too difficult for me to follow.You work? Uncle Dildo had no idea.. Good for you. We could use more contributing members to society around here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted May 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Batting played a huge part in all bets available entering the 9th.....+113 available on the over 9 at 7-2 enter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avenger Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Like with everything you need a reference for what the line should be around to make an informed decision. Like what % of the time do tears that close -7 but are down 7-0 in 1q win? Does it matter how they got that td? that's all I use in-game betting for. I have a line in my head and I don't like the line the book is giving me. I think the game will be close I will wait in-game to place it. I have my secrets. They're not as scientific as Teddy's, but they work. Just years of experience watching games. Teddy's 10 point plan reads great. I doubt it works. Just saying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Full 60 minutes in basketballbasketball games are 48 minutes but they run them through the first 45 minutes and then after that each time out/commercial break. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Also with my tennis wager it was during a game in the first set in which wawrinka wins the other guy goes to +800 or so to win first set. That would make my middle from -370 to +800 much bigger than your small fries 5 cent middles...think outside the box teddy, i have done pretty good in the tennis live but been burnt a couple times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rito Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 that's all I use in-game betting for. I have a line in my head and I don't like the line the book is giving me. I think the game will be close I will wait in-game to place it. I have my secrets. They're not as scientific as Teddy's, but they work. Just years of experience watching games. Teddy's 10 point plan reads great. I doubt it works. Just saying. how do you get your line in your head? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest boatboatboat Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Are live lines computer generated, or is a human imputing all of them. If the latter a book that offers many games with line lines must have a decent sized knowledgeable staff on hand to do this on a busy day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted May 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Me think outside the box Bricker? No I never do that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rito Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Are live lines computer generated, or is a human imputing all of them. If the latter a book that offers many games with line lines must have a decent sized knowledgeable staff on hand to do this on a busy day Most books are using the same lines that come from a service, it's definitely computer modeled. Pinny/BM probably have their own people doing it that may alter some lines from the model from time to time, but I doubt it happens often. Way too many games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted May 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 I post one 5cent move just to prove a point and for some reason it's stuck in your head....I had 4 30 cent moves prior to that I didn't say shot about... Avenger ....you're a chick, you don't know how to gamble:..I'm just sayin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest boatboatboat Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Most books are using the same lines that come from a service, it's definitely computer modeled. Pinny/BM probably have their own people doing it that may alter some lines from the model from time to time, but I doubt it happens often. Way too many games. TY I would assume that makes "how" the TD was scored of even more importance? I cant imagine the computer program takes into consideration a pick 6 or fumble or blocked punt. All it cares about is a team that Was +6.5 now leads by 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rito Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 TY I would assume that makes "how" the TD was scored of even more importance? I cant imagine the computer program takes into consideration a pick 6 or fumble or blocked punt. All it cares about is a team that Was +6.5 now leads by 7 That would be my guess, but there's not a ton of football games there's probably someone adjusting that line --- certainly doesn't mean they know how to adjust it properly. Live soccer is another story altogether. Unreal the amount of games and limits available. And the line moves are often based on what's happening more so than in other sports(remarkable considering I can't imagine where half this shit is on tv. LIke German under 15 girls league wtf) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest boatboatboat Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Every once in a while someone will give a can't miss soccer play. Most of the time I can't even find the damn thing, so many leagues and games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 I post one 5cent move just to prove a point and for some reason it's stuck in your head....I had 4 30 cent moves prior to that I didn't say shot about... Avenger ....you're a chick, you don't know how to gamble:..I'm just sayinwasnt knocking it teddy, just think you are off when you say the same thing doesnt work playing favorites. tennis odds and major sports odds are apples to oranges. im sure you have watched tennis lines and they jump huge anywhere from -10000 to +2999 in the blink of an eye. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rito Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 Every once in a while someone will give a can't miss soccer play. Most of the time I can't even find the damn thing, so many leagues and games. Can't miss lol. My under 2.5 was -2000 live earlier at 0-0 in 60min. it finished 3-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest boatboatboat Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 George is a sharp soccer guy. I have made a few friendly wagers with him in the past. Basically just take other side of what he wants EYE don't do that any longer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avenger Posted May 11, 2016 Report Share Posted May 11, 2016 how do you get your line in your head? I just come up with a fair price for what I think I should be paying for the team. Like GS tonight, -1000 max. That's what they're worth, not the -1600 they're at now. I'll take my chances and wait to place in-game. Playoff game should fluctuate, at least get me a line closer to -1000. Another way to read that is, place a small bet with Blazers now, then buy it out later. But I'm going to take my chances that GS wins tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avenger Posted May 12, 2016 Report Share Posted May 12, 2016 How is Teddy playing the NBA games tonight? Any 2H wagers on the Heat game? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted May 12, 2016 Report Share Posted May 12, 2016 Teddy really knows his shit. You can tell the guy has been in the game for awhile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted May 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 12, 2016 How is Teddy playing the NBA games tonight? Any 2H wagers on the Heat game?I'm at the softball field where I thought I was going to watch my daughter and son play softball but I ended up here with my niece and nephew at the park .....either way it's a nice break from gambling (as I check in to gambling forum lol) BOL to all....no in-game action tonight in my future just pizza and beer in about an hour Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joeybagadonuts Posted May 12, 2016 Report Share Posted May 12, 2016 Pretty sure books use a time decay model similar to what is used to price options for in game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avenger Posted May 13, 2016 Report Share Posted May 13, 2016 I just come up with a fair price for what I think I should be paying for the team. Like GS tonight, -1000 max. That's what they're worth, not the -1600 they're at now. I'll take my chances and wait to place in-game. Playoff game should fluctuate, at least get me a line closer to -1000. Another way to read that is, place a small bet with Blazers now, then buy it out later. But I'm going to take my chances that GS wins tonight. Teddy got owned by a chick. Said chick owned him in his own thread.He must feel really bad. Chicks know more about gambling than Teddy. How embarrassing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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