milwaukee mike Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 anyone else agree? rough numbers there are about 5 touchdowns per nfl game, and a little over 3 field goals but a lot of those field goals are right at the end of the first half... so even with a low total i think there's some value on a -130 or -140 first score touchdown Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted November 10, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 i'm guessing try3 or someone else has the numbers on this curious what % of first scores are touchdowns, i'm guessing 64%... packers score first drive touchdowns all the time so the bet's value is probably pretty team-dependent too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trytrytry Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 not sure I would auto do that but there are worse things you could do thats for sure i dont have the actual numbers but have thought same in so called defensive battles that TD line gets a bit low in my opinion. there are some college games where there is almost no chance at a FG as neither team really kicks them unless late half or late game situation and they will be like -300 first score TD and that's great value that way. look for those as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 Browns have given up something like 7/9 first drive TDs this year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted November 10, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 good stuff guys can't get any worse than last night... cancelled toledo which would've been a push, let akron ride which lost, and took akron -6.5 for the 2nd half which looked like a sure thing before that stupidity at the end couldn't sleep wondering why they didn't overturn that interception Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JAKEPEAVY21 Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 good stuff guys can't get any worse than last night... cancelled toledo which would've been a push, let akron ride which lost, and took akron -6.5 for the 2nd half which looked like a sure thing before that stupidity at the end couldn't sleep wondering why they didn't overturn that interceptionI had akron 2nd half as well..that really blew you are rich, don't sweat it... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 rich and stuck in milwaukee....unreal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted November 10, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 hangover why don't you post something useful instead of just bashing me every chance you get Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 lol you consider anything that goes against what you post as bashing. I think KR mentioned it last nite.....get tougher skin, pal. Its an interweb forum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted November 10, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 lol you consider anything that goes against what you post as bashing. I think KR mentioned it last nite.....get tougher skin, pal. Its an interweb forum. i don't mind differences of opinion, that's what the forum should be about but making it personal, calling me names, telling me what to do, and laughing at me doesn't do anyone any good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 lol you consider anything that goes against what you post as bashing. I think KR mentioned it last nite.....get tougher skin, pal. Its an interweb forum. You're a useless troll, as I've pointed out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 i don't mind differences of opinion, that's what the forum should be about but making it personal, calling me names, telling me what to do, and laughing at me doesn't do anyone any good JFC you spout racist garbage and meltdown for being called a racist...grow a pair man. 7-1 last nite posted plays but Im not crying for praise. I could care less as long as I get my money....you want us to praise you for fukin arbs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 You're a useless troll, as I've pointed out. When is the last time you posted a winner, pal? I see you lurking in the DFS thread all the time but contribute nothing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 LOL Hangover at 56-50 playing juiced totals constantly.... (all of which correlated) and wants praise for being what? Down units? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 LOL Hangover at 56-50 playing juiced totals constantly.... (all of which correlated) and wants praise for being what? Down units? I want no praise ever. Its a fukin forum...I win my bets and Im happy enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 When is the last time you posted a winner, pal? I see you lurking in the DFS thread all the time but contribute nothing. I don't have time for DFS, wish I did. I feel like its unbeatable unless you put in the time. I limited my posting of plays - but when I do I believe I'm hitting ~56-58%; I can bump thread if need be. There are what.... 3 sports threads per 20 here? I've urged the mods to fix it and this is where we are at. If you need plays, just ask.... Bucks over is easy $ tonight I believe I got 206.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 You're winning @ 56 - 50 with an average play at -115 - 120? That's pretty fucking break even to me. Of course if you're using bonus books, could be profiting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 MM you got Deemer white knighting for you....2vs1. Lets go boys...fire away lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 You're winning @ 56 - 50 with an average play at -115 - 120? That's pretty fucking break even to me. Of course if you're using bonus books, could be profiting. Like I said post a winner, pal. Documented one...not some nonsense attempt to hijack someone elses thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted November 10, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 MM you got Deemer white knighting for you....2vs1. Lets go boys...fire away lol i don't come here to be an asshole to posters for no reason or get into stupid arguments, got over that in 3rd grade by the way, mikeman posted this in the thread which was the only racist thing i saw... you just have a bug up your ass for certain posters, get over it "Yup, and the reason it's 50% black is cause all the smart white people moved out, just like everywhere else, how does the saying go....one black guy is ok but two or more and they turn into idiots. " Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 Like I said post a winner, pal. Documented one...not some nonsense attempt to hijack someone elses thread I've played 150+ plays here; DOCUMENTED in my thread. You've checked in constantly with rubbish. You are jealous of me. I get it. I'll help you out tonight, check my thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cop Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 Oh wow. A sports thread that wasn't suppressed by a political thread and hangover shits on it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 Its still about sports...kind of Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted November 10, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 JFC you spout racist garbage and meltdown for being called a racist...grow a pair man. 7-1 last nite posted plays but Im not crying for praise. I could care less as long as I get my money....you want us to praise you for fukin arbs. i just want people to be civil and respectful, that's all and maybe give some useful info once in a while i realize that's too much to ask on a forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hangover Posted November 10, 2016 Report Share Posted November 10, 2016 i don't come here to be an asshole to posters for no reason or get into stupid arguments, got over that in 3rd grade by the way, mikeman posted this in the thread which was the only racist thing i saw... you just have a bug up your ass for certain posters, get over it "Yup, and the reason it's 50% black is cause all the smart white people moved out, just like everywhere else, how does the saying go....one black guy is ok but two or more and they turn into idiots. " I dont like soft people who cry when they get called out for racist stances. Accept being a racist or whatever you are. Oh but I have black clients so its ok...gtfo Your turn Deemer Sun...shoot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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