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Belmont Notes-Spring 2017


rdalert447
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Thu 5/25/17

Played three races today:

 

Race 2

$20 win #3 Over My Head 20-1

$2 exbx 3-5

Horse doesn't like to win often, and has some second and third-itis, but she's gonna be a huge price and these are the types of races this trainer survives on. Rainy muddy day, no one paying attention to the card, and a real no name jockey. But, some of her best efforts have been on wet tracks so figured it's worth a twenty at around 30-1.

 

Race 3

$20 win #2 River Deep 10-1

$2 exbx 2/3,5

$2 DD 2/3,5,8

Horse showed some good speed last out, off of a very long layoff. So the fade job it pulled can be excused. Natural progression has this horse on or near the lead, with some more stamina off that last effort. Might be long gone on the sealed track by the time the other horses start moving. Always value with Tagg dirt starters, as opposed to his turfers.

 

Race 5

$20 win #9 Unlimited Resource 20-1

Parx trainer pulled a nice upset at Aqu over the winter, and this one has a great mud win on the front end, back on 3/28. Parx horses seem to fit well in NY claimed. Silvera a solid Parx based rider.

 

Good luck folks!

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I only play him when the horse is owned by Winning Move Stable. Otherwise I can't get a good read on him.

Just a heads up, trainer Robertino Diodoro from Canterbury/Oaklawn/Turf Paradise/Santa Anita etc has one entered for Winning Move Stable tomorrow(Race 5, #1). Diodoro has four wins already in his first full NY meet, and if he's getting good owners like Winning Move, he should be a fixture in the winners circle.

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Fri 5/26/17

Tough card with all the scratches. Looking to bet the following horses, but wouldn't bet any of them under 4-1....

 

Race 3

$20 win #8 Cozzy Spring 8-1

$1 P3 8/ALL/1

Charlton Baker has two MTO's entered today. This one looks to have the most value potential. He had a $40 winner last week, so be on alert for anything he sends out.

 

Race 5

$20 win #1 Ray'swarrior 7/2

See above post about Diodoro. 4-1 might be a stretch, but it's interesting that he claims this one at Kee, then brings it to NY for its first start, for owners that excell first off the claim....

 

Race 9

$20 win #12 Beyond the Green 8-1

$2 exbx 2-12

As mentioned earlier, Ryerson/Generazio horses are on fire. 8-1 might be a pipe dream, as both NYRA handicappers tab it on top.

 

Good luck, men.

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Just a heads up, trainer Robertino Diodoro from Canterbury/Oaklawn/Turf Paradise/Santa Anita etc has one entered for Winning Move Stable tomorrow(Race 5, #1). Diodoro has four wins already in his first full NY meet, and if he's getting good owners like Winning Move, he should be a fixture in the winners circle.

Nice call. Easy winner

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Sat 5/27/17

Bet a few today:

 

Race 3

$20 win #2 Castaway 7/2

$2 exbx 2-6

Another first off the claim for Diodoro/Winning Move. Low price but the guy is on fire.

 

Race 5

$20 win #4 One Eyed Ray 20-1

$1 Ex ALL/4

Long layoff but horse has some decent back class, and I'm encouraged that Farro chooses an Allowance race to bring him back in. She could easily sneak him by in a claimer. J.Ortiz doesn't hurt, as she doesn't usually use the top tier riders.

 

Race 7

$20 win #1 Now Blessed 20-1

$1 ex ALL/1

Sticking with the hot hand in Diodoro. Not gonna pass on this price, as hot as he is.

 

Good luck today, folks.

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Adding one more.

 

Race 10

$20 win #9 Psychic Energy 5-1

Can't see getting 5-1 on this horse, but maybe it gets lost in the shuffle like the Baker horse yesterday. Rice is on fire, horse had a GREAT turf debut last out, and Rice does her best work going long on turf. Think the morning line is off.

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