Will Brett Kavanaugh be confirmed? (Odds)

[FISHHEAD]

Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump 5h5 hours ago

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Judge Kavanaugh showed America exactly why I nominated him. His testimony was powerful, honest, and riveting. Democrats’ search and destroy strategy is disgraceful and this process has been a total sham and effort to delay, obstruct, and resist. The Senate must vote!

[FISHHEAD]

1. Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump Sep 26

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   Jobless Claims fell to their lowest level in 49 years!

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   Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump

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   Consumer confidence hits an 18 year high, close to breaking the all-time record. A big jump from last 8 years. People are excited about the USA again! We are getting Bigger and Richer and Stronger. WAY MORE TO GO!

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[theguesser]

now all you have left are Russians, collusion and treason...…..

Yep, and just like today with the drunken rapist getting away with his crimes because of a fixed jury, the Idiot will get away with his obvious Collusion and treason, if the evidence is presented to a fixed jury.  We'll see what November brings.  

[mikeman]

if he gets in on tuesday, come wednesday, it'll be back to russia, russia, russia.

[Colonel Lingus]

Sens. Flake (R-AZ), Collins (R-ME), Murkowski (R-AK), and Manchin (D-WV) are expected to vote in favor of Kavanaugh. All the Republicans are voting yes. Also, in the rumor mill, several Democrats may break ranks and back Kavanaugh. That’s the ball game, folks. -Townhall

[Teddy kgb]

and memes

 

Hahaha.....great post.....yep, they’ll always have their cartoons

[Teddy kgb]

Yep, and just like today with the drunken rapist getting away with his crimes because of a fixed jury, the Idiot will get away with his obvious Collusion and treason,

Guesser is a smart Jew (oxymoron) and he knows by spreading lies while also using buzz words that will attract the tards of this nation, it will make his party grow.

[theguesser]

Guesser is a smart Jew (oxymoron) and he knows by spreading lies while also using buzz words that will attract the tards of this nation, it will make his party grow.

You got me big Ted.  I'm a Democratic operative paid millions by George Soros himself, specifically to spread false into on The Gambling Forum(where your hobby is their passion), to try and convince just one mindless Cultist to switch sides.   If I can, I get an extra 20 Million by Jorge himself in the Sportsbook of my choice.   Wanna co-operate?   I'll cut you in for a third, skimmed right off the top.     

[Machiavelli]

You got me big Ted.  I'm a Democratic operative paid millions by George Soros himself, specifically to spread false into on The Gambling Forum(where your hobby is their passion), to try and convince just one mindless Cultist to switch sides.   If I can, I get an extra 20 Million by Jorge himself in the Sportsbook of my choice.   Wanna co-operate?   I'll cut you in for a third, skimmed right off the top.     

 

I laugh because I have been reading a lot about the gal who confronted Flake possibly being tied to a Soros group. 

 

Soros is def the boogeyman that the Right/Alt-right are propping up every chance that they get. 

 

Now, while I think him and his groups may have a role, it's basically no difference than the Koch brothers' money, yet Soros gets spoken about at like a 100/1 ratio. 

 

Point is, there's dirty $$$ on both sides! It's everywhere. Poisons the whole process. 

[mikeman]

I laugh because I have been reading a lot about the gal who confronted Flake possibly being tied to a Soros group. 

 

Soros is def the boogeyman that the Right/Alt-right are propping up every chance that they get. 

 

Now, while I think him and his groups may have a role, it's basically no difference than the Koch brothers' money, yet Soros gets spoken about at like a 100/1 ratio. 

 

Point is, there's dirty $$$ on both sides! It's everywhere. Poisons the whole process. 

Well, I sure was right when i said Flake is the weakest man in congress. He said...'america is being torn apart"...yea, it's being torn apart by the democrats who are doing all these dirty tricks to stop Kavanaugh, and then Flake does exactly what they want.

 

I have no idea if Flake is sincere or just a fool, but just imagine a grown man who's been in politics for many, many years, falling for such a scam? " Ooh, my friend Coons wants to help bring us together, I think this is a small step towards working together", what did Coons give up - nothing.

 

It was like grade school when bullies would surround the retard kid in the lunchroom and con him out of his lunch money.

[Bigrunner]

Couple of big wins for the Dems yesterday. Federal Judge says Trump is violating the Constitution daily. UnAmerican prick that he is.

 

Kavanaugh must get confirmed yesterday Trump is saying to himself.

[FISHHEAD]

Couple of big wins for the Dems yesterday. Federal Judge says Trump is violating the Constitution daily. UnAmerican prick that he is.

 

Kavanaugh must get confirmed yesterday Trump is saying to himself.

Do you consider yourself clueless or just a fucking jerkoff????

[Sol Aristatel]

Do you consider yourself clueless or just a fucking jerkoff????

 

Holy smokes!!

[Yanks]

Do you consider yourself clueless or just a fucking jerkoff????

Kill yourself

[Bigrunner]

Do you consider yourself clueless or just a fucking jerkoff????

I consider you a low info mofo.

 

Trump is violating the U.S. Constitution daily. You can't receive emoluments without getting permission from Congress. That's why 200 Congressional Democrats had to bring a winning lawsuit against the fuken lying traitor.

 

You're obviously an unAmerican prick for defending his criminal actions.

[theguesser]

Hmm, wonder what the Idiot Drumpf and the Drunken rapist are hiding.   I thought the FBI was running this investigation:

 

White House Blocks Investigation Into Julie Swetnick Accusations Against Kavanaugh

Ben FractenbergSeptember 29, 2018Michael Avenatti/Twitter

The White House has reportedly blocked the FBI from investigating the sex assault claims by Julie Swetnick against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh as it seeks to severely limit the scope of the potentially explosive probe.

 

NBC News reported that White House counsel Don McGahn, a strong supporter of Kavanaugh, specifically barred the law enforcement agency from investigating the claims of Swetnick, who is Jewish.

 

The FBI will probe some aspects of Kavanaugh’s alleged misconduct, including seeking corroboration for the dramatic claims of Christine Blasey Ford that he tried to rape her during a high school party in 1982.

 

Agents have already contacted Deborah Ramirez, who says the future judge exposed himself to her during a party when they were classmates at Yale, her lawyer said.

 

But the FBI will not look into claims by Swetnick that Kavanaugh helped drug women at several high school parties in the early 1980s. Swetnick said in a sworn affadavit that she and other women were sexually attacked by several men at the parties.

 

Lawyer Michael Avenatti quickly denounced the decision as an effort by Kavanaugh’s supporters and President Trump to block the FBI from finding out the truth.

 

The White House counsel’s office reportedly told the FBI it could only interview certain people, sources told NBC. The limits may hinder law enforcement from uncovering significant new information against Kavanaugh.

 

Sen Jeff Flake voted Friday to advance the nomination out of committee. But he won a pledge from the GOP to support the FBI investigation before the entire Senate votes on Kavanaugh.

 

“ spoke to a few other Republicans who are supportive [of an investigation] as well,” Flake said.

 

Shortly after, Republican leaders agreed to his demand and said they would delay the vote by at least one week. President Trump then called for a “limited” probe.

 

The probe was supposed to look into all “credible” claims against Kavanaugh but it is unclear how authorities are determining which allegations fit that bill.

 

 Julie Swetnick

Who Is Julie Swetnick, New Kavanaugh Accuser With Jewish Roots?

Aiden PinkSep 26, 2018

Avenatti tweeted earlier in the day that Swetnick would take her allegations about being the victim of “gang rapes” at parties attended by Kavanaugh “directly to the American people this weekend” if action was not taken.

 

Despite her claims, Swetnick was not called to testify publicly before the Senate committee. But Kavanaugh did briefly address her allegations during his testimony, calling her accusations “a joke, a farce.”

 

It was not immediately clear how Swetnick might address the public or if Avenatti would seek any legal action apart from speaking with FBI investigators.

 

A spokesman for the Montgomery County, Maryland, police department, where the high school parties were said to have taken place, said none of the accusers have spoken to investigators.

 

There is no statute of limitations preventing Kavanaugh from being charged criminally.

 

Joseph Giacalone, a retired New York police cold case investigator, told the Forward that investigators would be unlikely to find enough evidence to charge Kavanaugh in any of the alleged attacks, which took place more than three decades ago.

 

The first thing FBI agents might want to do is get a handwritten statement from Swetnick, especially since her typed affidavit may have been done with Avenatti and therefore more easily called into question.

 

“People tend to write a lot more than they want to reveal. You’d be surprised, sometimes people try to filter out what they say but they don’t filter out what they write [by hand],” Giacalone said.

 

A leader in an organization working to end violence against women and children said it’s important for investigators to understand how to best interview people who have been the victims of assault.

 

“When people remember traumatic events they often have vivid memories of key parts when their ‘fight or flight’ system is active,” Futures Without Violence director Kiersten Stewart told the Forward.

 

“Our memories don’t exist like a video recorder. You can’t expect someone to be able to tell you the exact order of events in an exact timeline from beginning to end.”

 

Stewart added that the FBI should have some of the best trained sexual assault investigators.

 

“They’re not necessarily going to come to a conclusion, but they are going to get the best information [for the Senators]. And that’s what everyone wants out of this.”

 

Read more: https://forward.com/news/411177/white-house-blocks-investigation-into-julie-swetnick-kavanaugh-claim/

[Machiavelli]

The offer was limited in scope investigation. 

 

Not wild goose chase of delay, delay, delay.

[theguesser]

The offer was limited in scope investigation. 

 

Not wild goose chase of delay, delay, delay.

This isn't wild goose.  This is a credible accusation that came before the hearings.  If the Idiot Drumpf is running this, rather than the FBI, it's a sham of a farce of a sham, which we already know.  Of course to the Cultists, it's already a done deal, so it won't be a problem for them.  

[Machiavelli]

Give them an inch, they'll take a mile. 

 

If it were credible, they'd file a criminal complaint. Or the committee would've listened to that one, too. 

 

But hey, if Kav is guilty and there is sufficient evidence, withdraw the nomination and charge him. 

 

But.........the Dems just want to delay as much as they can.

[theguesser]

Give them an inch, they'll take a mile. 

 

If it were credible, they'd file a criminal complaint. Or the committee would've listened to that one, too. 

 

But hey, if Kav is guilty and there is sufficient evidence, withdraw the nomination and charge him. 

 

But.........the Dems just want to delay as much as they can.

There is supposed to be a one week delay while credible accusations can be looked at further.  The Idiot Drumpf already seems to be further limiting the FBI from finding out something.   If true, that's violating what was supposed to be an FBI run investigation.  The "committee"already had limited it to Dr Ford.  This isn't the "Dems".   This was supposed to be an FBI investigation, based on a Bipartisan agreement.   Now the Idiot POTUS is limiting it.   You're fine with that?  

[Machiavelli]

The agreement was to investigate the Dr. Ford allegation further. 

 

If Avenatti/Swetnick file a criminal complaint, then go further. 

 

Otherwise, stick to the limited scope. 

 

Remember, there's still gonna be an up and down vote and if that allegation is as 'credible' as you suggest, the Senate can still vote him down. And before you say it's just a sham investigation, Flake, Murkowksi, Collins are all ones to flip and there only needs to be 2. 

[theguesser]

The agreement was to investigate the Dr. Ford allegation further. 

 

If Avenatti/Swetnick file a criminal complaint, then go further. 

 

Otherwise, stick to the limited scope. 

 

Remember, there's still gonna be an up and down vote and if that allegation is as 'credible' as you suggest, the Senate can still vote him down. And before you say it's just a sham investigation, Flake, Murkowksi, Collins are all ones to flip and there only needs to be 2. 

Nope, the agreement was to investigate credible accusations that were already there further.  Nothing was limiting it in scope to Dr Ford.   

If Swetnick is excluded, I hope Avenatti does what you say.  He's batting almost 1.000 in all things Idiot Drumpf.  

I don't trust Flake, Murkowski, or Collins to do the right thing.  I'm prepared to be surprised, but doubt I will be.   I think one of them may be allowed to cast a no vote, maybe more if one of the R's in D clothing, like Manchin flip.    

[mikeman]

Trump is the master puppeteer, pulling all the strings while his minions dance, just like it should be. No one ever expected the phony avenatti allegation to be taken seriously.

[theguesser]

Trump is the master puppeteer, pulling all the strings while his minions dance, just like it should be. No one ever expected the phony avenatti allegation to be taken seriously.

How can a puppet himself be a master puppeteer?   

[theguesser]