joeybagadonuts Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Just getting ahead of this now. When can these guys PM plays? Bc that’ll be big down stretchDeemteam , how do you feel about LeBrick finishing 11th in mvp voting behind Rudy Gobert??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 I’m hoping if swigger wins he puts it into the dump he’s living in. When you use garbage as Tupperware obviously you’ve got some problems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Terminator Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Virtual tie with 4 picks to go Popmotherfuckincorn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTGAMBLE Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 If Sweeper wins the money going straight to poker buy ins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 If Sweeper wins the money going straight to poker buy ins.Correct Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 If Sweeper wins the money going straight to poker buy ins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 SweggerWare tupperware or whatever it is called would be a good company to invest the dime in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Downsouth Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Hopefully whoever wins does some funny shit with the losers money to fuck with them.House gets another tent and 50 cans of Hormel Sweep buys a new stove Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 http://forum.thegamblingforum.com/index.php?/topic/52768-swiggerware/ We at swiggerware inc appreciate your continued support. Swiggerware- get down to our level. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 With only four plays to go, I'd like rito to do the math on a .05 advantage at this point. I bet it looks a little bigger than .05 when ran through the rito-meter. rito's sim wasn't accurate for where the contest was at standings-wise. He ran it for 10 plays according to his code and didn't factor in juice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Assuming no juice, both being coinflippers, and all bets even money (as rito's sim did), housepicks would have been 17.1875% to push or win the contest at that point. No sim necessary. Can use a binomial distribution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingKolzig Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 since there are only 4 pics left whomever gives their pick last each day has an advantage Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Assuming no juice, both being coinflippers, and all bets even money (as rito's sim did), housepicks would have been 17.1875% to push or win the contest at that point. No sim necessary. Can use a binomial distribution.Where are we at now with 4 plays left and Sweep having a .05 lead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted June 26, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Where are we at now with 4 plays left and Sweep having a .05 lead?About 122 more beers, 2.5k more views and Weeper asking for his money back 12 more times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 About more 122 beers, 2.5k more views and Weeper asking for his money back 12 more times.Hahahahaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 I think the 122 beers is way short though.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Where are we at now with 4 plays left and Sweep having a .05 lead? As even as it looks. Not a good way to calculate it without going through the situationals and assuming these guys know how to pick correctly in that situation. Comes down to game theory and depends on what odds they get more than anything. sweeper has the ability to take heavy favorites and if he wins out, housepicks would need to take a dog at some point. If sweeper loses one of them, housepicks wouldn't need to play a dog even if he loses - as long as his odds are lower than sweeper's that play. So sweeper should play a fave, housepicks should play a small favorite or a total to stay under his odds this play if they want the best chances of winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted June 26, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 I think the 122 beers is way short though..122/4 days = 30.5 beers a day. Divide that between the two... 15 beers and a quarter each day. I think that's close. :hurray Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sol Aristatel Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 122/4 days = 30.5 beers a day. Divide that between the two... 15 beers and a quarter each day. I think that's close. :hurrayYou are right. If this were Thursday night you would be short: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 http://forum.thegamblingforum.com/index.php?/topic/52768-swiggerware/ We at swiggerware inc appreciate your continued support. Swiggerware- get down to our level. hahahaha this is an excellent commercial and sponsor to the thread And I am highlighting it to further motivate my boy sweep to win this thing. Can't go losing the contest AND having this stuff up there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 I see nothing against using RL’s? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 If RL’s are valid here we go Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasson621 Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Great thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted June 26, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 I see nothing against using RL’s?I don't see why it wouldn't be allowed as long as it's within the odds range. We'll wait for Weeper to chime in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Downsouth Posted June 26, 2019 Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 I don't see why it wouldn't be allowed as long as it's within the odds range. We'll wait for Weeper to chime in.Round 2. Ding Ding Ding Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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