RAS Cappers Preseason NFL over/under

[Downsouth]

Preseason Week 1 _

08/05/2019:_ 253 Indianapolis +1 - LOSS _

08/05/2019:_ 256 New England/Detroit Under 38.5 - *WIN*

08/05/2019:_ 264 Jacksonville/Baltimore Under 34 - *WIN*

08/05/2019:_ 280 Oakland -4 - *WIN*

08/07/2019:_ 271 Denver +1 - LOSS

08/08/2019:_ 251 NY Jets -1 1H - LOSS

08/08/2019:_ 264 Baltimore -2 1H - *WIN*

08/09/2019:_ 275 Minnesota +1.5 1H *WIN*

 

Preseason Week 2 _08/12/2019:_ 403 NY Jets/Atlanta Over 41.5 - LOSS

08/12/2019:_ 423 Kansas City/Pittsburgh Over 44 - LOSS _

08/12/2019:_ 418 Indianapolis +1.5 - LOSS _

08/13/2019:_ 420 Tennessee +3 - LOSS _

08/15/2019:_ 404 Atlanta -1 1H - *WIN*

08/17/2019:_ 423 Kansas City -3 1H (-115) - LOSS

08/17/2019:_ 425 Detroit +4 - LOSS

08/17/2019:_ 420 New England/Tennessee Under 17.5 2H - *WIN*

 

Preseason Week 3 _08/19/2019:_ 279 Seattle +1 - *WIN*

08/19/2019:_ 261 Jacksonville/Miami Over 34.5 - LOSS

08/19/2019:_ 282 Tennessee -2 _

08/19/2019:_ 262 Miami -2 - *WIN*

08/22/2019:_ 254 Atlanta +1.5 1H (-115)* - *WIN*

08/22/2019:_ 275 San Francisco/Kansas City Over 43 - *WIN*

08/22/2019:_ 262 Miami +0.5 2H (-125) - *WIN*

08/24/2019:_ 276 Kansas City -3 1H (-115) - LOSS

08/24/2019:_ 273 New Orleans +1 2H - *WIN*

 

that was the 1st 25 picks (bet was for 1st 25 picks) for 13-11 with Tenn pending, they made a 26th pick but the bet is the 1st 25 picks (not games) and that included Tenn, San Fran was the 26th pick so it does not count

Good point. I didnt think the Tennessee pick was first.

[milwaukee mike]

yeah pretty darn good really! they really are currently 14-11 with Tenn pending so worst 14-12 for the people that bought the package

 

so worst case they made .80 units best case 2.7 units with the pending pick

 

so if you bet say 1000 per game you will 

final pick

lose 400ish

push 1800

win  2700

package cost 1200 so net

so

lose -800ish

push 600

win 1500

on the package price not bad 

 

pretty big assumption that someone is gonna be comfortable (and able) to bet 1000 on those halftime preseason spreads, and that they can get similar lines

 

i don't want to do the work but i'm guessing at least one of those wins would've been a loss with reality lines?

[milwaukee mike]

i just looked up the picks, seems like even though they were a few points better than reality on some, they would've had the same record with any widely available lines

[danshan]

yeah not a bad service but kinda expensive it seems for preseason because you need to get down a ton and its kind hard to find outs for big numbers on preseason.

[danshan]

i just looked up the picks, seems like even though they were a few points better than reality on some, they would've had the same record with any widely available lines

 

 

how did they actually do CLV wise, was it pretty good?  I noticed picks they give out right before kickoff seem to do way better against the line, look at Tenn it was placed days ago and it is not looking so line friendly, I dont know about the other picks, I did not check them against the line

[danshan]

Comes down to Tenn -2 tonight and they are right now at pickem it has moved away from 2 for sure

[danshan]

The Winner is UNDER 13.5!

[danshan]

Preseason Week 1 _
08/05/2019:_ 253 Indianapolis +1 - LOSS _
08/05/2019:_ 256 New England/Detroit Under 38.5 - *WIN*
08/05/2019:_ 264 Jacksonville/Baltimore Under 34 - *WIN* 
08/05/2019:_ 280 Oakland -4 - *WIN* 
08/07/2019:_ 271 Denver +1 - LOSS
08/08/2019:_ 251 NY Jets -1 1H - LOSS
08/08/2019:_ 264 Baltimore -2 1H - *WIN*
08/09/2019:_ 275 Minnesota +1.5 1H *WIN* 

Preseason Week 2 _08/12/2019:_ 403 NY Jets/Atlanta Over 41.5 - LOSS 
08/12/2019:_ 423 Kansas City/Pittsburgh Over 44 - LOSS _
08/12/2019:_ 418 Indianapolis +1.5 - LOSS _
08/13/2019:_ 420 Tennessee +3 - LOSS _
08/15/2019:_ 404 Atlanta -1 1H - *WIN*
08/17/2019:_ 423 Kansas City -3 1H (-115) - LOSS 
08/17/2019:_ 425 Detroit +4 - LOSS 
08/17/2019:_ 420 New England/Tennessee Under 17.5 2H - *WIN* 

Preseason Week 3 _08/19/2019:_ 279 Seattle +1 - *WIN* 
08/19/2019:_ 261 Jacksonville/Miami Over 34.5 - LOSS 
08/19/2019:_ 282 Tennessee -2 _LOSS
08/19/2019:_ 262 Miami -2 - *WIN* 
08/22/2019:_ 254 Atlanta +1.5 1H (-115)* - *WIN*
08/22/2019:_ 275 San Francisco/Kansas City Over 43 - *WIN*
08/22/2019:_ 262 Miami +0.5 2H (-125) - *WIN* 
08/24/2019:_ 276 Kansas City -3 1H (-115) - LOSS 
08/24/2019:_ 273 New Orleans +1 2H - *WIN*

that was the 1st 25 picks (bet was for 1st 25 picks) for 13-12

Winner Under 13.5