Moldoveanu Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 what a bunch of pussies i swear -120 or -125 or -115 its same fucking Number just cause its higher does not mean that -120 will have 99% winner and -110 will have 50% jfc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 what a bunch of pussies i swear -120 or -125 or -115 its same fucking Number just cause its higher does not mean that -120 will have 99% winner and -110 will have 50% jfc Shut up Moldy. Not everbody can pick +100s and hit 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moldoveanu Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 Shut up Moldy. Not everbody can pick +100s and hit 60%. so you are telling me that if you pick -120s vs -110 +100 you will have a better record ? let me tell you something you cant fix stupid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 so you are telling me that if you pick -120s vs -110 +100 you will have a better record ? let me tell you something you cant fix stupid LOL. You will never get back a half mill either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 There are 100s of games, surely you can find another.JFC. What are you whining about? You can play -120's all day since you need to angle shoot so badly. I'm sure that extra few percentage points of implied probability is going to do wonders for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 JFC. What are you whining about? You can play -120's all day since you need to angle shoot so badly. I'm sure that extra few percentage points of implied probability is going to do wonders for you.I think you are the one more concerned about implied probability advantages. Yes, I am satisfied with the -120 at even odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 I think you are the one more concerned about implied probability advantages. Yes, I am satisfied with the -120 at even odds.Correlation is not an implied probability advantage, genius. And I'm simply defending the rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 Correlation is not an implied probability advantage, genius. And I'm simply defending the rule.Let's get the record straight. I am against -120s and correlated plays as a strategy. I don't think a random correlated play is of any importance whatsoever. But hey, it is all so complicated because if we have any, we will have everyone using them and you would rather bet correlated plays at -110 than bet -120 at even odds. All I care about is 10:30 a.m. lines on Monday and I will adjust to whatever rules that are applied. My preference is not to be involved in an angle shooting contest. The crowd disagrees and so it shall be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 K. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 Picks on the way IAG!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Downsouth Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 Let's get the record straight. I am against -120s and correlated plays as a strategy. I don't think a random correlated play is of any importance whatsoever. But hey, it is all so complicated because if we have any, we will have everyone using them and you would rather bet correlated plays at -110 than bet -120 at even odds. All I care about is 10:30 a.m. lines on Monday and I will adjust to whatever rules that are applied. My preference is not to be involved in an angle shooting contest. The crowd disagrees and so it shall be.10:30 Monday is basically same thing as hitting -120s. Everyone has an angle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 10:30 Monday is basically same thing as hitting -120s. Everyone has an angleOnly for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 where is the money being sent ? whos holdingI will. I'll send out PMs this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVU Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 so you are telling me that if you pick -120s vs -110 +100 you will have a better record ? Without question, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 Without question, yes.Not always in a finite, small sample like a contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moldoveanu Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 What if a friend wants to play does he need an account Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 13, 2019 Report Share Posted August 13, 2019 Oh brother. Here come the friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rito Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 There are 100s of games, surely you can find another.That's stupid. Might as well not do nfl at all. You know what kind of edge someone picking -120 on every game all year has on someone picking -110? Especially considering the push % on the 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 That's stupid. Might as well not do nfl at all. You know what kind of edge someone picking -120 on every game all year has on someone picking -110? Especially considering the push % on the 3.Sorry. I was just parroting Monkey. I wouldn't sweat it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 Sorry. I was just parroting Monkey. I wouldn't sweat it. A bit of a difference not taking away a shitload of sides vs one side or total that you might have played in the same game. But you're just an annoying gnat anyway. So carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 A bit of a difference not taking away a shitload of sides vs one side or total that you might have played in the same game. But you're just an annoying gnat anyway. So carry on.What is the difference between betting every major spread and the over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 There are at most 3 bets OTB due to the correlation rule. That's the difference. Need me to draw a picture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 There are at most 3 bets OTB due to the correlation rule. That's the difference. Need me to draw a picture?Maybe. So if I bet every major spread and the over versus every -120 what is my expected winning percentage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 Maybe. So if I bet every major spread and the over versus every -120 what is my expected winning percentage?You don't have to worry about it because you can't in this contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Always Call Heads Posted August 14, 2019 Report Share Posted August 14, 2019 You don't have to worry about it because you can't in this contest.That's a relief. I would hate to lose with my -120s by someone cheating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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