FairWarning Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 By the time this is all over the disparity is gonna be more about who wore masks and who didn’t. Are their numbers half what what they say? Are they really 160k? That’s gonna be a drop in the bucket.China has 21 million fewer cell phones in service this month. Things that make you go hmmmm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted March 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 China has 21 million fewer cell phones in service this month. Things that make you go hmmmm.You think it’s like that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 There's a far greater likelihood that the lockdowns degenerate into violence in the streets if this goes on for too many months than it would for those policies to save millions of lives. And then how many lives did you actually save? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Of course we do.Are you aware that viral genomes change and mutate continuously? And that virulence also changes? Can you think of any circumstances that would confer greater evolutionary advantage to a increase in severity? Because I can. What about nonlinearity of mortalirlty rate, based on a shitload of potential covariates, like depletion of healthcare workers, overloading of the system, supply lines going down, riots, martial law? Have you considered THAT? Of course not. You live in a fantasy world of simple linear effects and normal distributions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Are you aware that viral genomes change and mutate continuously? And that virulence also changes? Can you think of any circumstances that would confer greater evolutionary advantage to a increase in severity? Because I can. What about nonlinearity of mortalirlty rate, based on a shitload of potential covariates, like depletion of healthcare workers, overloading of the system, supply lines going down, riots, martial law? Have you considered THAT? Of course not. You live in a fantasy world of simple linear effects and normal distributions.And if the virus mutates, the quarantines were just made completely ineffective because you're never going to reach the point of immunity. Or do you think people should never go outside again? Thanks for proving my point again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairWarning Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 You think it’s like that?The only certainty is not to trust China with anything. Could it be 5 million? That’s a lot different than what they were reporting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 And if the virus mutates, the quarantines were just made completely ineffective. Or do you think people should never go outside again? Thanks for proving my point again.Slowing it down gives us time to get ahead of it with effective treatment, vaccine, etc. More infections means more mutations. More mutations means vaccine less likely to completely squash it. It's a race against time. We could do everything right and still might lose. All you can do is play the best odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted March 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 I just know they wear their masks and have dealt with this sort of thing before and their citizens take the proper measures Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Slowing it down gives us time to get ahead of it with effective treatment, vaccine, etc. More infections means more mutations. More mutations means vaccine less likely to completely squash it. It's a race against time. We could do everything right and still might lose. All you can do is play the best odds.There is absolutely no way that a vaccine will be developed and mass produced before this virus infects the vast majority of people on Earth. No matter what the policies enacted are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 The longer that people are not immune, the more likely that the virus mutates. So what's actually the quickest path to immunity? It's not what you're proposing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 There is absolutely no way that a vaccine will be developed and mass produced before this virus infects the vast majority of people on Earth. No matter what the policies enacted are.Treatments like chloroquine could drive R0 below 1 though. Which would get us there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailsyoulose Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 The longer that people are not immune, the more likely that the virus mutates. So what's actually the quickest path to immunity? It's not what you're proposing.Are mutation rates based on time? No. They are based on number of genome replications, which is directly related to number of infections. Slowing down infection rate buys more time. More infected for the sake of "immunity'" means more mutation, greater risk of NO immunity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Treatments like chloroquine could drive R0 below 1 though. Which would get us there.That's one of our HOPES. Not a certainty either. But I'd like if that was the case. That would solve both the health and economic problems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Are mutation rates based on time?If the virus can't survive and no longer exists, I don't see how it can mutate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Just got back from the grocery store....maybe 5% had mask and gloves.....wife gave me gloves to wear but they were blue so I didn’t wear, right when I got there I seen a lady with orange gloves , I almost pulled the trigger and gloved up after seeing her, but still passed.... Told the wife I wore them.....feel dirty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatboatboat Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 wife gave me gloves to wear but they were blue so I didn’t wear,Brilliant Blue sucks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Are mutation rates based on time? No. They are based on number of genome replications, which is directly related to number of infections.Why do you think the total number of infections is going to be lessened in the end? There's no evidence of that. Nobody advocating these policies is even claiming that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted March 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Masks Gotta have them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bfo Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Just got from SMITH'S Roughly 150 in the store between employees and customers...………..three masks spotted 2% Few asian folk in Southern HighlandsSmith’s at Rainbow and Windmill has a ton of Filipinos that shop there, would say that half or more of them had masks on. Saw very few white people wearing one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bookbraker Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 No mask here. Very little exposure to ppl except my 3 workers. Medicated chapstick up the nose. Get some! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housepicks Posted March 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Smith’s at Rainbow and Windmill has a ton of Filipinos that shop there, would say that half or more of them had masks on. Saw very few white people wearing one. Smith’s at Rainbow and Windmill has a ton of Filipinos that shop there, would say that half or more of them had masks on. Saw very few white people wearing one. I’d rather shop next to the asians Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeman Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 i tried wearing the n95 at work but couldnt stand it, got 3/4 through the dayi will give it another go tomorrowThe ones with the little flap in the middle make all the difference, I used to wear them at work all the time, the flapped one's are way, way better than the others. far less hot and uncomfortable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brock Landers Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 ……….and it's saving thousands of lives in this country. Vegas valley close to 2.5 million The casinos here should have been closed earlier than when they were. Nevada still with their heads up their asses Where's the shelter in place that we've had for 8 days now in Illinois?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeman Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Nevada still with their heads up their asses Where's the shelter in place that we've had for 8 days now in Illinois??Pay your debts stiff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bfo Posted March 29, 2020 Report Share Posted March 29, 2020 Nevada still with their heads up their asses Where's the shelter in place that we've had for 8 days now in Illinois??Cashman Field being used as a temp shelter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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