Jump to content

hustledouble

Members
  • Posts

    317
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Everything posted by hustledouble

  1. Half the people John has banned have been unbanned. That end of it is a bit of a mess. The forum there is way better than it was before, but stuff like this is annoying. I think the problem mostly is John is supposed to be the authority over the forum now but has no authority, can't really recruit anybody to help him, and "ownership" has their thumb up their butts. I don't think it's his fault. I just think John is the radio show guy and someone else should be the forum guy. Losing Kinger made them realize what was broken, but they don't know how to fix all of it. If you want, groovin, I will copy and paste an image of your issue in the thread about you being banned....
  2. We'll see what the line is, but I think next week might be a good spot for Denver
  3. The fantasy sites are more gangster than the sports books. Say you play a $20 50/50 contest, where you double your $20 if you finish in the top half. You're not really doubling anything. Buy in is $22. There's a $2 no-risk rake. It's poker with football cards. I play for baseball, because essentially if you can devote a little time to looking at dailybaseballdata line-ups or whatever you can put a competitive team together. It's minor league gambling. Something the casual guy can talk about in front of his neighbors without feeling weird
  4. 3-1 on the sides and 1-2 on the teasers yesterday. Sorry these are up late: Baltimore Ravens pk -110 Broncos/Seahawks Under 49 -110 NY Giants ML +100 Dallas -1.5 -110 Cowboys/Rams O44.5 -110 Rest will be live
  5. Oklahoma -7 -113 Missouri -13 -115 Kansas -3 -120 Maryland + 1 -110 Teaser: Colorado -2 VA Tech -2 Teaser Nebraska -2 Oklahoma -2.5 Teaser Colorado -2 LSU -2 California +15
  6. Tough one yesterday. Back at it: SIDE Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +130 St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -110
  7. 3-2 last night. Hope to keep the pace moving. TOTAL Auburn/Kansas State Over 63.5 -110 The total in Auburn has cleared 63.5 4 of its last 5 games, with its one exception being in Alabama. They've gone over the total 4 of their last 6 road games and are averaging 52 points through 2 weeks, including one game against a middle-of-the-road Arkansas opponent. Kansas State has similarly scored an average of 43.50 PPG against two cupcakes, and has scored at least 30 points in all of their last 5 games. The total has gone over in 5 of Kansas State's last 7 games and they are a difficult team to play at home, so I expect a lot of counter-punching. SIDE St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +165 Playing the value here. It's tough to bet baseball this time of year for a variety of reasons. First, you've got a handful of teams who've clinched the playoffs or their division who will periodically and randomly give their starters "reward" days off. You've also got the much larger handful of teams who are experimenting with call-ups on their 40-man roster because they're out of playoff contention all together. Pitchers arms are tired. But there are still a few match-ups day-in and out that have meaningful playoff or division repercussions, and with oddsmakers now attending to football first, those games can be worth a look. Kyle Lohse has not had a very good recent history versus his old team the St. Louis Cardinals. He was 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA last year and is 0-2 with a 9.64 ERA this year. His road ERA is 4.71, a full two points higher than his home ERA. He's had 5, 7, 4 and 9 run games in his last 10 outings, and has made it to the 7th inning only 3 times. He allows majority fly balls and Busch Stadium is tied for the 4th best scoring park in the league. Shelby Miller, meanwhile, does his best work at home and has allowed only 4 runs versus Milwaukee in two starts in 2014. The three years prior, Miller went 3-0 in 5 decisions with a 2.03 ERA. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in his last 5 starts. The Cardinals have 7 players with HR against Lohse and 10 with at least 1 RBI. Matt Holliday, Jhonny Peralta and Yadier Molina all have OPS of .919 or higher over 20+ at bats vs. Lohse. Only Aramis Ramirez really has good numbers for Miller. The Brewers are scratching and clawing to get back into the wildcard, and their big come-from-behind victory two nights ago figured to be a key late-season character win and perhaps give them momentum into the final stretch. But the Brewers bats were foiled again by Adam Wainwright yesterday in a 2-0 St. Louis shutout victory, and the Cardinals themselves have to keep an eye on the surging Pirates, who are only 3 back with 12 to play for the NL Central. This could be a close one, but the pitching discrepancy, the hitting numbers vs. Lohse, the Busch stadium factor, and the price perhaps present some value on the Cardinals side. The current runline is St. Louis -1.5 +160 or +165 depending on where you look and you can get the -1 at +$ also.
  8. It's tough to bet baseball this time of year for a variety of reasons. First, you've got a handful of teams who've clinched the playoffs or their division who will periodically and randomly give their starters "reward" days off. You've also got the much larger handful of teams who are experimenting with call-ups on their 40-man roster because they're out of playoff contention all together. Pitchers arms are tired. But there are still a few match-ups day-in and out that have meaningful playoff or division repercussions, and with oddsmakers now attending to football first, those games can be worth a look. Kyle Lohse has not had a very good recent history versus his old team the St. Louis Cardinals. He was 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA last year and is 0-2 with a 9.64 ERA this year. His road ERA is 4.71, a full two points higher than his home ERA. He's had 5, 7, 4 and 9 run games in his last 10 outings, and has made it to the 7th inning only 3 times. He allows majority fly balls and Busch Stadium is tied for the 4th best scoring park in the league. Shelby Miller, meanwhile, does his best work at home and has allowed only 4 runs versus Milwaukee in two starts in 2014. The three years prior, Miller went 3-0 in 5 decisions with a 2.03 ERA. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in his last 5 starts. The Cardinals have 7 players with HR against Lohse and 10 with at least 1 RBI. Matt Holliday, Jhonny Peralta and Yadier Molina all have OPS of .919 or higher over 20+ at bats vs. Lohse. Only Aramis Ramirez really has good numbers for Miller. The Brewers are scratching and clawing to get back into the wildcard, and their big come-from-behind victory two nights ago figured to be a key late-season character win and perhaps give them momentum into the final stretch. But the Brewers bats were foiled again by Adam Wainwright yesterday in a 2-0 St. Louis shutout victory, and the Cardinals themselves have to keep an eye on the surging Pirates, who are only 3 back with 12 to play for the NL Central. This could be a close one, but the pitching discrepancy, the hitting numbers vs. Lohse, the Busch stadium factor, and the price perhaps present some value on the Cardinals side. The current runline is St. Louis -1.5 +160 or +165 depending on where you look and you can get the -1 at +$ also. For those of you who like to buy low, it might be worth a look.
  9. DSI had the same one, I believe they're under the same umbrella and work out of the same office? I passed on Bookmaker so far, kind of late with their bonus. I am not a huge fan of CRIS lines for anything but basketball really. Their live betting is pretty cool though.
  10. He's been pretty open about this stuff in interviews, I think. He's definitely a trust fund baby. He claims he's not a great poker player but just takes advantages of donkeys who want a taste of the lifestyle he provides. I don't think he's ever done much in tournaments against other pros. If I had Bilzerian money the last thing I'd want to do is be famous.
  11. We keep a supply of drinking water around that would last us a couple weeks, but other than that not really.
  12. SIDE Cleveland Indians -1.5 +130 Detroit Tigers -1.5 -105 MONEYLINE Chicago White Sox +104 TOTAL Seattle Mariners/LA Angels Under 8 -119 PARLAY Cubs ML/Cardinals ML +177 1-1 yesterday, profit on the margin since the winner had the juice. A bunch of plays today, will try to get some write-ups for these later, as I'm about to record the next HD podcast for the site. Good luck everyone!
  13. Buffalo was horrible in the red zone. They go ultra conservative near the end zone.... I think under is the best play in this game?
  14. Sweating the under in the Brewers/Cards. 12th inning. Bullpens!!!
  15. It's slow going for me this time of year. I'm a baseball and basketball bettor first, and with baseball now branching into its 40-man rosters and basketball still about a month away, I'm stuck making wacky decisions like playing a billion games on a college football Saturday. Nevertheless, there are still some games on the diamond for the next few weeks so hopefully I can filter out some winners. MONEYLINE New York Yankees ML +106 This one went down a bit while I was deciding whether or not I wanted to go with it, so you could have got it at +112-+114 just a few hours ago, but them's the breaks. The Yankees are very likely out of the playoffs in 2014, but a faint hope glimmers. They're 6 back with 13 to play and need to jump frog four teams, including in-division rival Toronto to get in. Stranger things have happened in the history of baseball, but not too many. Nevertheless, at 76-73, the Yankees would certainly like to finish the final straightaway of the season strong. Masahiro Tanaka was cleared for a start this upcoming weekend, and Girardi is still managing like every game is game 7 of the World Series. To have a shot at October baseball they'd very likely have to go 12-1 or 13-0 the rest of the way, but I don't think they're quite ready to call it quits. They have Michael Pineda going tonight, who has allowed more than 2 runs only once in ten starts this year: His last game in New York against this very Rays. But aside from a few hanging breaking balls that Rays betters took advantage of, it was still a strong performance from one of the Yankees current and future staff aces. Whether or not the Yankees can pull off the small "upset" tonight may depend entirely on Pineda's ability to rebound from his last outing and keep his sliders from hanging over the middle of the plate. For the Rays, it's Jake Odorizzi, who has a 7.71 ERA and allowed 12 runs in two outings to the Yankees this season. The Rays are done for this year with only 73 wins, and both offenses have sputtered in the last 3-4 weeks. Odorizzi is a much better home starter than a road starter, at least this year, so we'll see what happens. TOTAL Milwauke Brewers/St. Louis Cardinals Under 7 -110 It's do-or-die time for the Brewers, whose recent losing streak has now dropped them one full game behind the Pittsburgh Pirates for the 2nd wild card spot. A team that had contended and lead the NL Central for better parts of the 2014 summer now faces the current and likely overall NL Central winners, the St. Louis Cardinals, in a series that may make-or-break the Brewers 2014 playoff hopes. Lance Lynn will be bringing his 15-9, 2.73 ERA to the mound for St. Louis. He hasn't given up more than 3 runs in a game since June 28th. The deciding factor in the game may be Wily Peralta, whom the Brewers will turn their playoff hopes too tonight. He's 16-10 with a 3.75 ERA, and has been fairly inconsistent of late but has a 2 and 3 ER performance in his last 10 against St. Louis, and pitched very well against the Marlins last Wednesday. Peralta's strong season against St. Louis is against the backdrop of a 7.71 ERA versus St. Louis from 2011-2013, so there is some risk there. On the bright side, both teams being in a playoff hunt likely means that they won't be doing many experimental things with their 40-man roster bullpens in the late innings, unless the game has already gotten away from one side or the other, in which case the under is probably toast anyway.
  16. Thanks guys! I use Pinny for the most part. If a line is weird (like the example you cited), I will use 5 major offshore and 5 Vegas books aggregate. Since there was so much going on with the Pats/Vikings this week I just went with the closing line instead of inserting my own human error into it as well.
  17. Thanks TNVOLFAN! The 2014 NFL Master Sheet has been updated: www.hustledouble.com/2014NFLMasterSheet.xlsx Key Notes: Three way tie for highest yards per play: Seattle, Atlanta and Pittsburgh all at 6.5. New England has forced the most turnovers Teams who've covered the spread both weeks: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Houston, San Diego, Carolina, Philadelphia Teams who've failed to cover the spread both weeks: Denver, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, NY Giants, Tampa Bay Teams who've gone over both weeks: Cleveland, Indianapolis, Jacksonville, Green Bay, New Orleans, Philadelphia, Seattle Teams who've gone under both weeks: Baltimore, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Kansas City, Tennessee, Arizona, Carolina, Dallas, Minnesota, St. Louis, Tampa Bay "Public" vs. "The Book": The book was 11-5 in Week 1 and 12-4 in week 2. They are 23-9 overall. ATS Count for week to: 6 games fell within 0-6.5 of the spread. 3 games fell with 7-13.5 of the spread. 8 were 14+ outside the spread [TABLE=width: 432] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 576, colspan: 9]Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS and straight up in its last 5 games [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Tampa Bay has had 6 of the last 8 games go under[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Atlanta is 16-7 straight up in its last 23 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 5 of San Diego's last 7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 15 of Dallas' last 23 road games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 5 of St. Louis last 5 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 6 of Washington's last 9 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Houston is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]NY Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 8 of New Orlean's last 11 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]New Orleans is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Baltimore is 11-1 straight up in its last 12 versus Cleveland[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Green Bay is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Green Back is 15-2 straight up in its last 17 against Detroit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 5 of the last 7 GB/DET games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 road games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in Indianapolis's last 5 games versus Jacksonville[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Jacksonville is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone Over in 4 of Oakland's last 6 road games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone Over in 7 of New England's last 10 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in New England's last 5 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]New England is 1-3-1 in its last 5 ATS against Oakland[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under if 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]San Francisco is 9-1 in its last 10 straight-up versus Arizona[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Arizona is 2-9 in its last 11 games versus San Franciso[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Denver has gone under in 6 of Denver's last 8 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 9 of Denver's last 13 trips to Seattle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Seattle is 18-1 straight-up in its last 19 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Kansas City is 2-7-1 ATS in its last ten games versus Miami[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 road games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 5 of Miami's last 6 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Pittsburgh is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 road games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Carolina is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone under in 6 of Carolina's last 7 home games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]X[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]The total has gone over in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games on the road[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]Chicago is 6-16-1 in its last 23 games[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]NY Jets is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus Chicago[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, colspan: 9]NY Jets is 5-1 straight-up in its last 6 home games[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  18. Are these rich athletes never leaving tips, have I been doing it wrong all these years?
×
×
  • Create New...