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Tampa Bay Downs- Winter 2017/Spring 2018


rdalert447
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Friday 2/9/18

Gonna try and keep the momentum going. Playing four races with the possibility of more if race 7 comes off turf. Win or lose the rest of the way, I’ve found Tampa to be a fantastic winter betting option. There’s so many small stables with positive categories that it really makes it easy to find value. Fun track.

 

Race 2

$20 Win #3 Dubull 6-1

$2 exbx 2-3

$2 DD 2,3/4

$1 P3 ALL/4/2

Vinson is yet another small trainer with positive categories up and down the spectrum, all in minimal starts.

 

Race 3

$20 Win #4 Cuban Cowboy 10-1

$2 Ex 4/ALL

Ubide has great numbers in distance turnbacks.

 

Race 4

$20 Win #2 Barefoot Cove 9/2

$2 Ex 2/ALL

Hoping Arboritanza’s win on Wed was the start of a roll for his barn. He’s got great numbers third start of the meet and beyond. I like playing this type of horse that’s burnt money the last few tries. The public tends to ignore those after losing with them, so usually get a better price.

 

Race 9

$20 Win #1 Cantcatchchanneled 12-1

$2 exbx 1/7,9,10

This race is impossible. Three or four small outfits with great ROI, that I’ve been following. So I’m most likely gonna choose wrong. But Bradley’s numbers third start off a layoff put this one ahead of the rest. It would be nice if he got rolling at the same time as Arboritanza. That would guarantee a profitable meet.

 

Good luck, men!

 

7-61, -$155

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Saturday 2/10/18

The big boys are in town for the Sam F. Davis. Treading lightly....

 

Race 5

$20 Win #7 Mau the Great 20-1

Ochoa has crazy ROI here the last two years, and hasn’t detonated yet.....

 

Race 8

$20 Win #5 Slewy Chosen One 15-1

One more shot for Vinson, who has great ROI in several different categories.

 

Race 9

$20 Win #6 Josdesanimeaux 20-1

See if Arboritanza can keep it going.....

 

Race 12

$20 Win #6 Political Justice 8-1

$2 Ex 6/ALL

Love this guy Gonzalez. Every one of his horses are ready to run, and he doesn’t get bet.

 

8-65, +$212

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Rest of the card:

 

Race 5

$20 Win #3 King Tide 8-1

$2 Ex 3/ALL

$2 DD 3/3,8,11

Hoping Arboritanza keeps his run going.

 

Race 6

$20 Win #3 Early Deligh 12-1

$2 exbx 3/8,11

Still waiting on Ochoa to detonate. He has two in here so I’m probably guessing wrong.

 

Race 7

$20 Win #7 Red Curls 10-1

$2 exbx 7/ALL

Lerman has been quiet here the last couple of years, but I learned long ago to pay attention when he has a sharp horse going up against the big names, like in here. Horse ran a great race last out, just had some tough luck.

 

Good luck rest of the way, men.

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Wednesday 2/14/18

Played three today:

 

Race 3

$20 win #3 Peaka Ballerina 8-1

$2 ex 3/ALL

Arboritanza again. Two of the trainer's strong suits, class dropper and second start of meet or beyond. This one is way beyond, starting an astounding four times prior to today. Since November!

 

Race 6

$20 win #3 Victory Spell 30-1

$1 exbx 3/ALL

Arboritanza, turn back, drop in class, second start of meet. Horse looks woefully slow, but can't ignore trainer's ROI in these situations.

 

Race 7

$20 win #2 Grand Nenuco 5-1

$2 ex 2/ALL

$2 exbx 2-3

Ochoa has crazy ROI up and down the board. Hasn't scored yet.

 

Best of luck!

 

8-71, +$29

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Friday 2/16/18

Playing four today. A three bagger from Bradley, who had a nice win the other day at 7-1, so maybe he’s ready to go on a run....

 

Race 2

$20 Win #1 City Storm 6-1

We won with this horse a couple weeks back. Gonzalez strong in multi categories.

 

Race 5

$20 Win #9 Cuz She's Amazing 15-1

Bradley’s numbers second off layoff are only so so, but this one had a decent return effort, so at that price Im jumping in.

 

Race 8

$20 Win #8 Closing Strike 15-1 Bradley.

$2 Ex 8/ALL

$2 DD 8/9

Another second timer off the long layoff from Bradley. Showed decent speed to be competitive in the early portions of its return race. Understandably got tired off the long break. Hoping it jets out to the lead today and is a little more fit.

 

Race 9

$20 Win #9 Love and Mischief 7/2

Bradley has great numbers third off the layoff. Think the morning line might be a pipe dream, though...

 

Good luck to anyone in action today.

 

8-74, -$77

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