Brick Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 JUSTIFY +367Risk: 250.00 - Win: 917.50Kentucky Derby 2018 winnerTNT - [315130] Justify +367 Game start 05/10/2018 03:51 PM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Someone explain why Bookmaker is always way off on a couple horses every year, and why it isn't sharp to pound those horses. I have fair value on My Boy Jack to win at 212/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted May 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Thanks again for the 18-to-1, Monkeysucker! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted May 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Get that $1,800 ready, boy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted May 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 JUSTIFY +367Risk: 250.00 - Win: 917.50Kentucky Derby 2018 winnerTNT - [315130] Justify +367 Game start 05/10/2018 03:51 PMOh, look, BrickChalkHouse betting a favorite. Shocker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasson621 Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 In all seriousness I wouldn't take 50-1 on MBJ. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Thanks again for the 18-to-1, Monkeysucker! You're welcome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 In all seriousness I wouldn't take 50-1 on MBJ. Me neither. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bump City Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 In all seriousness I wouldn't take 50-1 on MBJ.why? just curious; the derby is a huge crap shoot and my grampa always told me there was no skill in handicapping the derby - getting 50/1 when he's 5/1 would seem like a must bet in a massive crap shoot field on a wet track. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bump City Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 You're welcome.I'll take 18-1 for $100 if you want more action. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Oh, look, BrickChalkHouse betting a favorite. Shocker.floyd must’ve taught you how to spell bricksharphouse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasson621 Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 why? just curious; the derby is a huge crap shoot and my grampa always told me there was no skill in handicapping the derby - getting 50/1 when he's 5/1 would seem like a must bet in a massive crap shoot field on a wet track.Just off of my numbers, I am a professional losing horse player you know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bump City Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Just off of my numbers, I am a professional losing horse player you know.jajajajaja. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted May 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 I'll take 18-1 for $100 if you want more action.I don't see how Monkeysucker can turn this down. After all, he has MBJ at over 200-to-1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 why? just curious; the derby is a huge crap shoot and my grampa always told me there was no skill in handicapping the derby - getting 50/1 when he's 5/1 would seem like a must bet in a massive crap shoot field on a wet track. The Kentucky Derby provides some of the best overlay opportunities of the year in horse racing. Because a lot of people think like you do and like to bet longshots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 BUt he's not a long shot anymore. He's the 2nd fave. Yet you're completely dismissive. Any reason? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 BUt he's not a long shot anymore. He's the 2nd fave. Yet you're completely dismissive. Any reason? Math. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingRevolver Posted May 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 I don't see how Monkeysucker can turn this down. After all, he has MBJ at over 200-to-1.Thought so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Math. So.. A horse is 30/1 not two days ago and is now 5/1 and Math says he has no shot? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Math says he has a 212/1 shot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Well alright then. I am wondering if the late money is all coming in due to the mud angle. Seems like sharp thinking to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 BUt he's not a long shot anymore. He's the 2nd fave. Yet you're completely dismissive. Any reason?Looks like hes the 5th favorite to me behind Justify, Bolt, Moon, and Mendhelson Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeinkeToWarrick Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Firenze is throwing away money lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machiavelli Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 Looks like hes the 5th favorite to me behind Justify, Bolt, Moon, and Mendhelson I'm going by the NBC Coverage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bump City Posted May 5, 2018 Report Share Posted May 5, 2018 The Kentucky Derby provides some of the best overlay opportunities of the year in horse racing. Because a lot of people think like you do and like to bet longshots.He's 5-1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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