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Deadly Russian strikes on Ukraine sign of weakness, not strength: Analysts

The bombardment was the largest against Ukrainian cities in months and focused heavily on civilian targets, killing at least 19 and injuring dozens more, Ukrainian officials said. It was also the first time the very center of Kyiv had been directly hit.

But while the barrage was intended to terrorize, independent analysts said it underlined not Russia’s strength but growing weakness, illustrating its inability to shift the military situation in its favor. They called it a desperate attempt by Russian President Vladimir Putin to respond to critics at home but said the strikes would have no effect in reversing Russia's battlefield defeats.

"This is not, therefore, a new war-winning strategy but a ... tantrum," Lawrence Freedman, a professor of War Studies at Kings College London, wrote in a post his Substack blog of Monday’s strikes.

The Crimean bridge that was partially collapsed by a blast over the weekend was a target with major symbolic and military significance for Russia. The bridge was an expensive physical symbol of Putin’s annexation of Crimea and a key supply line for Russian forces already under intense pressure in southern Ukraine.

The attack on the bridge was a personal humiliation for Putin that underscored how badly the war is going for Russia. Russian nationalists were demanding a commensurate response, experts said.

Russia's strikes on Monday were unable to hit anything comparable, instead resorting to bombing civilian targets without any military significance, including a university and a children’s playground in Kyiv, local officials said.

"The occupiers are not capable of opposing us on the battlefield already, that is why they resort to this terror," Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a social media post on Monday.

In the capital, for example, a Russian missile targeted a pedestrian bridge that crosses through a park and that’s only used for sightseeing. The missile missed the bridge, leaving it intact, but it did hit the surrounding park. It's unclear if that strike resulted in any injuries.

Russia also targeted several power stations around the country that Ukrainian and Western officials have said are part of a strategy of destroying heating infrastructure as winter approaches.

The strikes are designed to spread fear, but will have no impact on Ukraine’s ability to keep advancing in the northeast and south where Russia is on the defensive, several military analysts said. Russia is also running out of the long-range missiles it used in Monday’s strike, meaning it will be unable to maintain such intensity even short-term, analysts said.

Pavel Luzhin, a military expert and political scientist, told the Russian independent news site The Insider that after Monday’s strikes, Russia already had insufficient advanced missiles to repeat such a large-scale attack.

"The 83 missiles that Russia used today, it had been hoarding for several months,” Luzhin, who writes for Riddle Russia, told The Insider. Russia produces no more than 200 advanced cruise missiles a year, he said, and upping production or buying them from other countries was impossible.

Luzhin said Russia still had larger quantities of older, less advanced missiles and now Iranian drones, but these were not enough to have a significant military impact.

"Enough for terror, but not for anything more," he said.

Greg Yudin, a professor of political philosophy at the Moscow School of Social and Economic Sciences, told ABC News the Russian hardliners were "the target audience" for Monday’s strikes.

He said Putin was now fully aligned with the hardliners and that he would escalate further despite his military’s growing weakness.

"He doesn’t care about reality. He will push until the end. He will escalate further and further, hoping that perhaps the final escalation will make the opponent surrender,” Yudin said.

Russia has been bombing Ukrainian infrastructure since the start of the war, hitting Ukrainian cities most days, but the number of its strikes has fallen dramatically since the summer, which is a sign it has to ration its limited missile stockpile, most military experts say.

Short on missiles and pushed back from Ukrainian cities, Russia is often turning to anti-aircraft and anti-ship missiles to strike ground targets in order to preserve its more valuable cruise missiles, experts said. Ukraine is also increasingly effective at shooting down Russian missiles.

One of Britain’s top spy chiefs on Tuesday also said Russia was increasingly short on ammunition and supplies of all types.

"We know — and Russian commanders on the ground know — that their supplies and munitions are running out," Sir Jeremy Fleming, the head of Britain’s GCHQ intelligence will say in a speech he is expected to give Tuesday, the BBC and other media outlets reported. “Russia’s forces are exhausted. The use of prisoners to reinforce, and now the mobilization of tens of thousands of inexperienced conscripts, speaks of a desperate situation.”

As Ukraine has routed Russian forces in parts of the country in recent weeks, hardline nationalists in Russia have been calling for Putin to adopt a total war approach that would destroy civilian infrastructure and flatten Ukrainian cities. On Monday some of those critics hailed the strikes.

 
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Ukraines Air Force confirms theres photo and video evidence of shooting down of 4 Ka-52 helicopters on Wednesday

Quote: "18 minutes is the period within which we managed to successfully catch Ruscist helicopters [that flew] above the southern front, as they were providing fire support. There were [actually] more targets. Confirmation [of the fact that they were downed] is currently underway. These four targets [4 Ka-52s – ed.] are confirmed to have been shot down. There is even video and photo evidence. And we are also waiting for confirmation [of the fact] that perhaps two more helicopters were hit. This is a great result. Ruscist equipment is expensive. These are Ka-52s that cost many millions of dollars."

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1 hour ago, Bigrunner said:

Ukraines Air Force confirms theres photo and video evidence of shooting down of 4 Ka-52 helicopters on Wednesday

Quote: "18 minutes is the period within which we managed to successfully catch Ruscist helicopters [that flew] above the southern front, as they were providing fire support. There were [actually] more targets. Confirmation [of the fact that they were downed] is currently underway. These four targets [4 Ka-52s – ed.] are confirmed to have been shot down. There is even video and photo evidence. And we are also waiting for confirmation [of the fact] that perhaps two more helicopters were hit. This is a great result. Ruscist equipment is expensive. These are Ka-52s that cost many millions of dollars."

If they had video evidence they would have blasted it out over the web. they didn't, prob shot one down, utterly irrelevant.

This is a big yawn.

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1 hour ago, Jimmy Hoffa said:

"Ukraine's Air Force Confirms..."

 

LOL

Ot, have you ever voted for someone that said "if I lose I won't accept the results of an election".  Oh yeah you voted for Benedict Donald twice.  

How can people vote for anyone who says if they lose the won't accept the results. Personally I never could. 

And is anyone shocked that extremist Hoffa is skeptical about anti PooTin news?

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32 minutes ago, Bigrunner said:

Ot, have you ever voted for someone that said "if I lose I won't accept the results of an election".  Oh yeah you voted for Benedict Donald twice.  

How can people vote for anyone who says if they lose the won't accept the results. Personally I never could. 

And is anyone shocked that extremist Hoffa is skeptical about anti PooTin news?

I can confirm that you are a Pedo Nazi.

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1 hour ago, Jimmy Hoffa said:

I can confirm that you are a Pedo Nazi.

More disinformation being peddled by a Trump voter and super Trumptard.

I can confirm that like you Alex Jones is a massive Trumptard and voted for his buddy twice.

It's becoming clear that not accepting election results after a loss has become a value represented by the Republicon Party.  

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American mercenary denazified .

[ Album ]
Dane 'Bird' Partridge (https://t.me/TrackAMerc/285), Idaho, USA.  Arrived in Ukraine April 27th, departed October the 3rd.  However, he left in a body bag.

During his time in UA he was fighting in Severodonetsk, but a week ago he suffered a major head injury from shrapnel, which led to him being put into a coma and life support.

He spent the last of his time in hospital trying to recover, however we've had it confirmed that he sunflowered whilst on life support.Dane 'Bird' Partridge, Idaho, USA.  Arrived in Ukraine April 27th, departed October the 3rd.  However, he left in a body bag.

During his time in UA he was fighting in Severodonetsk, but a week ago he suffered a major head injury from shrapnel, which led to him being put into a coma and life support.

He spent the last of his time in hospital trying to recover, however we've had it confirmed that he sunflowered whilst on life support.

image.thumb.png.b5979479c265259a18a17a3670945c2c.png

image.png.8612f70d9abcbc08b3bb11f918f8b4ea.png

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13 minutes ago, mikeman said:

American mercenary denazified .

[ Album ]
Dane 'Bird' Partridge (https://t.me/TrackAMerc/285), Idaho, USA.  Arrived in Ukraine April 27th, departed October the 3rd.  However, he left in a body bag.

During his time in UA he was fighting in Severodonetsk, but a week ago he suffered a major head injury from shrapnel, which led to him being put into a coma and life support.

He spent the last of his time in hospital trying to recover, however we've had it confirmed that he sunflowered whilst on life support.Dane 'Bird' Partridge, Idaho, USA.  Arrived in Ukraine April 27th, departed October the 3rd.  However, he left in a body bag.

During his time in UA he was fighting in Severodonetsk, but a week ago he suffered a major head injury from shrapnel, which led to him being put into a coma and life support.

He spent the last of his time in hospital trying to recover, however we've had it confirmed that he sunflowered whilst on life support.

image.thumb.png.b5979479c265259a18a17a3670945c2c.png

image.png.8612f70d9abcbc08b3bb11f918f8b4ea.png

It was on the telegram news 2 days ago.i didn't want to post because coming from me I would be accused of being.... Some news and images I just don't post. Fairly yang guy could be watching MLB playoffs now. Died for nothing. 

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That report about russia catching those guys that were going to shoot down airliners should worry everyone. Those missiles are being given out like candy, they're being sold on the black market, it's just a matter of time before someone tries or succeeds in doing that here. When that happens who's fault is it?

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